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Ouriense W vs Braga W

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Eliadis T.
45' Event
Silva Do.
Assist: Kehrer C.
52' Event
Kehrer C.
Assist: Fonseca B. P.

AI Match Summary

The Liga BPI Women 2023/2024 game between Ouriense W and Braga W finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Ouriense W
15%
Draws
76%
Braga W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Braga W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Braga W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 76% — that's where the model lands on Braga W taking it.
  • Regular Liga BPI Women 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ouriense W Clean Sheet 15%
Braga W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ouriense W Braga W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 12
Draws 5 9
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 0.8 1.65
Goals Conceded 2.53 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Ouriense W vs Braga W
2:2
Dec 17, 2023 Liga BPI Women
Braga W vs Ouriense W
5:0
Feb 4, 2023 Liga BPI Women
Ouriense W vs Braga W
1:1
Jan 11, 2023 Taça da Liga Women
Ouriense W vs Braga W
0:1
Sep 25, 2022 Taça da Liga Women
Braga W vs Ouriense W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ouriense W Compare

Top Goalscorer Eliadis T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pastilha Santos J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Braga W Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva Do.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kehrer C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ouriense W 11 / 100
Braga W 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ouriense W Braga W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Braga W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Braga W has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Ouriense W's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Ouriense W stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Braga W
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ouriense W

(Home)
11 May
Ouriense W
0 : 2
Vilaverdense W
05 May
Ouriense W
0 : 3
Sporting W
28 Apr
Ouriense W
2 : 2
Braga W
13 Apr
Damaiense W
2 : 1
Ouriense W
24 Mar
Ouriense W
2 : 3
Torreense W
Page 1 of 6

Braga W

(Away)
29 Aug
Valadares Gaia W
0 : 2
Braga W
10 May
Braga W
2 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes W
03 May
Racing Power W
1 : 2
Braga W
25 Apr
Braga W
1 : 3
SL Benfica W
04 Apr
Sporting W
3 : 1
Braga W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SL Benfica W 22 18 2 2 66:12 56
2 Sporting W 22 17 3 2 68:10 54
3 Racing Power W 22 13 4 5 34:13 43
4 Damaiense W 22 11 4 7 31:33 37
5 Braga W 22 11 3 8 47:30 36
6 Valadares Gaia W 22 11 3 8 24:19 36
7 Maritimo W 22 10 1 11 33:41 31
8 Torreense W 22 8 6 8 33:39 30
9 Albergaria/Durit W 22 5 2 15 18:51 17
10 Famalicao W 22 5 1 16 18:41 16
11 Vilaverdense W 22 3 3 16 15:52 12
12 Ouriense W 22 2 4 16 15:61 10
Promotion - Champions League Women 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2023/2024 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2023/2024 (Relegation - Play Offs)