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Ouriense W vs Condeixa W

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2021/2022
Ouriense W Logo

Ouriense W

1 - 0
FT
Condeixa W Logo

Condeixa W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ouriense W in this Liga BPI Women 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ouriense W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Ouriense W
20%
Draws
64%
Condeixa W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Condeixa W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Condeixa W average 1.2 goals a game right now, well clear of Ouriense W's 0.91.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ouriense W here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Ouriense W Clean Sheet 10%
Condeixa W Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ouriense W Condeixa W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 5 4
Losses 20 19
Goals Scored 0.91 1.2
Goals Conceded 2.44 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2022 Liga BPI Women
Ouriense W vs Condeixa W
1:0
Dec 19, 2021 Liga BPI Women
Condeixa W vs Ouriense W
2:4
Feb 16, 2019 Taça de Portugal Women
Condeixa W vs Ouriense W
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ouriense W 30 / 100
Condeixa W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ouriense W Condeixa W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Condeixa W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Away concern: Condeixa W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Ouriense W scored in 56% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ouriense W VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
3.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ouriense W

(Home)
11 May
Ouriense W
0 : 2
Vilaverdense W
05 May
Ouriense W
0 : 3
Sporting W
28 Apr
Ouriense W
2 : 2
Braga W
13 Apr
Damaiense W
2 : 1
Ouriense W
24 Mar
Ouriense W
2 : 3
Torreense W
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Condeixa W

(Away)
05 Jun
Condeixa W
0 : 2
Racing Power W
28 May
Racing Power W
1 : 0
Condeixa W
22 May
Amora W
5 : 2
Condeixa W
15 May
Condeixa W
2 : 1
Estoril Praia W
08 May
Condeixa W
2 : 2
Varzim W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amora W 14 12 1 1 53:22 37
2 Valadares Gaia W 14 11 1 2 33:10 34
3 Ouriense W 14 9 1 4 26:17 28
4 Condeixa W 14 6 2 6 28:21 20
5 Gil Vicente W 14 5 1 8 15:36 16
6 Estoril Praia W 14 2 4 8 10:17 10
7 Varzim W 14 2 3 9 15:29 9
8 Atletico CP W 14 2 1 11 17:45 7
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2021/2022 (Relegation)