Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Oxford City vs Bedford

England England

National League North 2025/2026 RAW Charging Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Tripp C.
34' Event
Ashby J.
74' Event
Phillips J.

AI Match Summary

The National League North 2025/2026 game between Oxford City and Bedford finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bedford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Oxford City
33%
Draws
27%
Bedford
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Oxford City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Bedford haven't matched Oxford City's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Oxford City a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League North 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Oxford City Clean Sheet 20%
Bedford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oxford City Bedford
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 8 11
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2025 National League North
Oxford City vs Bedford
1:2
Oct 21, 2025 National League North
Bedford vs Oxford City
1:0
Mar 27, 2012 Southern Premier League
Oxford City vs Bedford
1:0
Sep 24, 2011 Southern Premier League
Bedford vs Oxford City
1:2
Jan 29, 2011 Southern Premier League
Bedford vs Oxford City
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oxford City Compare

Top Goalscorer Ashby J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Bedford Compare

Top Goalscorer Tripp C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Phillips J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oxford City 40 / 100
Bedford 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oxford City Bedford

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OXF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oxford City found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Bedford has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Oxford City remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Oxford City VS Bedford
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1AFC Fylde4632410112:51100
2South Shields462811799:4395
3Kidderminster462512974:5187
4Macclesfield462471581:6879
5Buxton462271783:6173
6Scarborough Athletic4619161161:5273
7Chester4620131366:6473
8Merthyr Town462242095:8670
9Darlington FC462091778:6869
10Spennymoor4619111662:6968
11Telford4617141585:6565
12Marine461882062:7262
13Radcliffe461862276:8360
14Southport4616121864:7160
15Chorley4615121966:6557
16Worksop461692166:7457
17Oxford City4615112062:6756
18Bedford4613141966:7753
19King’s Lynn4612161856:6452
20Hereford4614102264:7952
21Curzon Ashton4613132067:8852
22Alfreton4612142049:8250
23Peterborough Sports461092751:9639
24Leamington46783141:9029