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Oxford City vs Kidderminster Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

National League North 2025/2026 RAW Charging Stadium, Oxford
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Donnelly K.
22' Event
Ashby J.
40' Event
Obi E.

AI Match Summary

The National League North 2025/2026 game between Oxford City and Kidderminster finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oxford City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Oxford City
20%
Draws
33%
Kidderminster
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Oxford City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Kidderminster carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Oxford City's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Oxford City Clean Sheet 68%
Kidderminster Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oxford City Kidderminster
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 18
Draws 6 5
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.72 1.97
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 National League North
Oxford City vs Kidderminster
3:2
Aug 19, 2025 National League North
Kidderminster vs Oxford City
1:1
Jan 25, 2025 National League North
Oxford City vs Kidderminster
1:1
Aug 26, 2024 National League North
Kidderminster vs Oxford City
4:0
Feb 3, 2024 National League
Kidderminster vs Oxford City
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oxford City Compare

Top Goalscorer Ashby J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Campton-Sturridge D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Kidderminster Compare

Top Goalscorer Donnelly K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Obi E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oxford City 95 / 100
Kidderminster 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oxford City Kidderminster

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oxford City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oxford City found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Oxford City stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Kidderminster let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Oxford City VS Kidderminster
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Oxford City

(Home)
26 Sept
Oxford City
1 : 1
Morecambe
19 Sept
Dorchester
0 : 2
Oxford City
12 Sept
Radcliffe
0 : 3
Oxford City
08 Sept
Telford
1 : 0
Oxford City
05 Sept
Oxford City
4 : 0
Chorley
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Kidderminster

(Away)
29 Sept
Boreham Wood
3 : 1
Kidderminster
26 Sept
Kidderminster
0 : 1
Yeovil
19 Sept
Woking
0 : 0
Kidderminster
16 Sept
Kidderminster
1 : 0
Gateshead
11 Sept
Kidderminster
2 : 0
Hartlepool
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AFC Fylde 46 32 4 10 112:51 100
2 South Shields 46 28 11 7 99:43 95
3 Kidderminster 46 25 12 9 74:51 87
4 Macclesfield 46 24 7 15 81:68 79
5 Buxton 46 22 7 17 83:61 73
6 Scarborough Athletic 46 19 16 11 61:52 73
7 Chester 46 20 13 13 66:64 73
8 Merthyr Town 46 22 4 20 95:86 70
9 Darlington FC 46 20 9 17 78:68 69
10 Spennymoor 46 19 11 16 62:69 68
11 Telford 46 17 14 15 85:65 65
12 Marine 46 18 8 20 62:72 62
13 Radcliffe 46 18 6 22 76:83 60
14 Southport 46 16 12 18 64:71 60
15 Chorley 46 15 12 19 66:65 57
16 Worksop 46 16 9 21 66:74 57
17 Oxford City 46 15 11 20 62:67 56
18 Bedford 46 13 14 19 66:77 53
19 King’s Lynn 46 12 16 18 56:64 52
20 Hereford 46 14 10 22 64:79 52
21 Curzon Ashton 46 13 13 20 67:88 52
22 Alfreton 46 12 14 20 49:82 50
23 Peterborough Sports 46 10 9 27 51:96 39
24 Leamington 46 7 8 31 41:90 29
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Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)