Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Oyonesa vs Berceo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Arnaez J.
44' Event
Rivas I.
67' Event
Cordoba Esteban P.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 game between Oyonesa and Berceo finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oyonesa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Oyonesa
20%
Draws
34%
Berceo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Oyonesa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Oyonesa come out ahead of Berceo on wins alone.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Oyonesa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Oyonesa Clean Sheet 17%
Berceo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oyonesa Berceo
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 14 11
Draws 10 8
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.44 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Oyonesa vs Berceo
3:0
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Berceo vs Oyonesa
2:2
Apr 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Oyonesa vs Berceo
1:2
Nov 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Berceo vs Oyonesa
0:1
Mar 2, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Berceo vs Oyonesa
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oyonesa Compare

Top Goalscorer Arnaez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rivas I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Berceo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oyonesa 39 / 100
Berceo 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oyonesa Berceo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oyonesa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Oyonesa scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: Berceo conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Oyonesa has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Oyonesa VS Berceo
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Oyonesa

(Home)
07 Jun
Arnedo
3 : 2
Oyonesa
31 May
Oyonesa
0 : 0
Arnedo
24 May
Varea
0 : 2
Oyonesa
17 May
Oyonesa
0 : 0
Varea
10 May
Varea
0 : 1
Oyonesa
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Berceo

(Away)
10 May
Autol
2 : 1
Berceo
30 Apr
Berceo
2 : 0
Yague
26 Apr
Berceo
1 : 2
UD Logrones B
19 Apr
Oyonesa
3 : 0
Berceo
12 Apr
Berceo
4 : 1
Pradejon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 26 8 0 99:22 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:36 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 54:46 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 47
9 Vianes 34 11 9 14 39:51 42
10 Yague 34 9 13 12 48:52 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 39
12 Berceo 34 10 9 15 42:50 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 38
14 Comillas CF 34 11 5 18 32:58 38
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 35
16 Villegas 34 7 7 20 36:66 28
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 20:80 18
18 Pena Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 27:86 11
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)