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Oyonesa vs Varea

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Oyonesa
35%
Draws
25%
Varea
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Oyonesa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Very High Confidence
  • Varea carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Oyonesa a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Varea arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Varea, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Oyonesa Clean Sheet 68%
Varea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oyonesa Varea
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 18
Draws 9 6
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.88 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs Oyonesa
0:2
May 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Oyonesa vs Varea
0:0
May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs Oyonesa
0:1
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Oyonesa vs Varea
0:1
Jun 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs Oyonesa
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oyonesa 77 / 100
Varea 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oyonesa Varea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OYO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oyonesa found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Oyonesa stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Varea has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Oyonesa VS Varea
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Oyonesa

(Home)
07 Jun
Arnedo
3 : 2
Oyonesa
31 May
Oyonesa
0 : 0
Arnedo
24 May
Varea
0 : 2
Oyonesa
17 May
Oyonesa
0 : 0
Varea
10 May
Varea
0 : 1
Oyonesa
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Varea

(Away)
24 May
Varea
0 : 2
Oyonesa
17 May
Oyonesa
0 : 0
Varea
10 May
Varea
0 : 1
Oyonesa
03 May
Pradejon
0 : 1
Varea
26 Apr
Varea
0 : 0
Anguiano
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Arnedo 3
CD Calahorra 0
Varea 0
Oyonesa 2
Final
Arnedo 3
Oyonesa 2