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Oyonesa vs Varea Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Oyonesa
35%
Draws
39%
Varea
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Varea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Varea carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Oyonesa a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Varea arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Varea, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Oyonesa Clean Sheet 68%
Varea Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oyonesa Varea
Matches Played 36 34
Wins 17 21
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.47 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs Oyonesa
0:2
May 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Oyonesa vs Varea
0:0
May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs Oyonesa
0:1
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Oyonesa vs Varea
0:1
Jun 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs Oyonesa
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oyonesa 46 / 100
Varea 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oyonesa Varea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oyonesa found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (36 games).

Varea's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 34 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Oyonesa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Oyonesa VS Varea
1.25 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Oyonesa

(Home)
27 Sept
Vianes
2 : 2
Oyonesa
18 Sept
Oyonesa
1 : 0
Casalarreina CF
13 Sept
CD Calahorra
2 : 0
Oyonesa
06 Sept
Oyonesa
1 : 2
Anguiano
26 Aug
Oyonesa
1 : 4
San Ignacio
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Varea

(Away)
27 Sept
Varea
1 : 0
CDFC La Calzada
20 Sept
Pradejon
1 : 1
Varea
13 Sept
Varea
0 : 0
San Marcial
06 Sept
Cenicero
1 : 1
Varea
24 May
Varea
0 : 2
Oyonesa
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Arnedo 3
CD Calahorra 0
Varea 0
Oyonesa 2
Final
Arnedo 3
Oyonesa 2