Sport Picks

Latvia

Latvian Cup 2011/2012

Ozolnieki

4 - 0

Mersrags

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Ozolnieki advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Ozolnieki

15%

Draws

42%

Mersrags

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ozolnieki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Ozolnieki come out ahead of Mersrags on wins alone.
43% — that's where the model lands on Ozolnieki taking it.
Ozolnieki have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Ozolnieki, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 94%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 94%

Over 3.5 Goals 71.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%

Ozolnieki Clean Sheet 10%

Mersrags Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ozolnieki	Mersrags
Matches Played	8	5
Wins	3	2
Draws	0	0
Losses	5	3
Goals Scored	1.63	1
Goals Conceded	2.75	5
Expected Goals (xG)	3.31	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2011 Latvian Cup

Ozolnieki vs Mersrags

4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ozolnieki 83 / 100

Mersrags 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ozolnieki Mersrags

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ozolnieki Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mersrags's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 5 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Ozolnieki found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (8 games).

Difficult form: Mersrags registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ozolnieki VS Mersrags

1.63 Goals Scored 1

2.75 Goals Conceded 5

100% Over 1.5 100%

88% Over 2.5 100%

63% Over 3.5 80%

Recent Form & Match History

Ozolnieki

(Home)

16 Jun

Ozolnieki

0 : 2

Grobina

17 Jul

Ozolnieki

0 : 3

Tukums 2000

07 Jul

Ozolnieki

4 : 1

Upesciems

14 Jun

FK Auda Riga

6 : 2

Ozolnieki

06 Jun

Ozolnieki

4 : 0

Mersrags

Page 1 of 2

Mersrags

(Away)

09 Jul

Mersrags

0 : 8

Caramba

02 Jul

DSVK Traktors

2 : 3

Mersrags

30 Jun

Mersrags

0 : 10

RFS

08 Jun

Mersrags

2 : 1

Brali

06 Jun

Ozolnieki

4 : 0

Mersrags

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Skonto -

TBD -

Zelis Gulbene -

TBD -

FK Dobele 0

Marupe 1

TBD -

RFS -

FK Metta -

TBD -

BFC Daugavpils -

TBD -

FC Jurmala -

FK Daugava Riga -

TBD -

Ozolnieki 4

Mersrags 0

Sigulda 0

FK Auda Riga 1

FK Aluksne 2

Bebri 0

Austrumi 1

Upesciems 2

FK Auda Riga -

TBD -

Tukums 2000 -

Valmiera -

TBD -

Ogre -

TBD -

Gulbene -

Jelgava -

TBD -

Olimps Riga -

Spartaks Jurmala -

TBD -

Avantis 3

FK Ergli 0

FK Olaine 0

Iecava 1

TBD -

Ventspils -

FC Daugava Daugavpils -

TBD -

Grobina 1

Kekava 0

Aizkraukle 0

FK Smiltene 3

Brali 4

Jelgava/Jauniesi 3

Plavinas 3

FK Madona Kvarcs 1

FK 1625 Liepaja -

TBD -

Rezekne -

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

1/64-finals

Skonto -

TBD -

Zelis Gulbene 3

Marupe 1

TBD -

RFS -

FK Metta -

TBD -

BFC Daugavpils -

TBD -

FC Jurmala -

FK Daugava Riga -

TBD -

Ozolnieki 2

FK Auda Riga 6

FK Aluksne 0

Upesciems 3

FK Auda Riga -

TBD -

Tukums 2000 -

Valmiera -

TBD -

Ogre -

TBD -

Gulbene -

Jelgava -

TBD -

Olimps Riga -

Spartaks Jurmala -

TBD -

Avantis 0

Iecava 3

TBD -

Ventspils -

FC Daugava Daugavpils -

TBD -

Grobina -

FK Smiltene -

Brali 1

FK Madona Kvarcs 6

FK 1625 Liepaja -

TBD -

Rezekne -

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

1/32-finals

Skonto -

TBD -

Zelis Gulbene 0

RFS 12

FK Metta 3

BFC Daugavpils 1

TBD -

FC Jurmala -

FK Daugava Riga -

TBD -

Ozolnieki 4

Upesciems 1

FK Auda Riga 0

Tukums 2000 2

Valmiera 4

Ogre 0

TBD -

Gulbene -

Jelgava -

TBD -

Olimps Riga -

Spartaks Jurmala 5

Iecava 0

TBD -

Ventspils -

FC Daugava Daugavpils -

TBD -

Grobina 0

FK Madona Kvarcs 1

FK 1625 Liepaja 2

Rezekne 0

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

1/16-finals

Skonto -

TBD -

RFS -

FK Metta -

TBD -

FC Jurmala -

FK Daugava Riga -

TBD -

Ozolnieki 0

Tukums 2000 3

Valmiera -

TBD -

Gulbene -

Jelgava -

TBD -

Olimps Riga -

Spartaks Jurmala -

TBD -

Ventspils -

FC Daugava Daugavpils -

TBD -

FK Madona Kvarcs -

FK 1625 Liepaja -

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

1/8-finals

Skonto 2

RFS 0

FK Metta 0

FC Jurmala 3

FK Daugava Riga 4

Tukums 2000 0

Valmiera 1

Gulbene 3

Jelgava 3

Olimps Riga 1

Spartaks Jurmala 1

Ventspils 2

FC Daugava Daugavpils 11

FK Madona Kvarcs 0

FK 1625 Liepaja 1

FK Liepaja 3

Quarter-finals

Skonto 1

FC Jurmala 0

FK Daugava Riga 1

Gulbene 3

Jelgava 2

Ventspils 1

FC Daugava Daugavpils 0

FK Liepaja 1

Semi-finals

Skonto 1

Gulbene 0

Jelgava 1

FK Liepaja 4

Final

Skonto 2

FK Liepaja 1

Ozolnieki vs Mersrags

Latvia

Ozolnieki

Mersrags

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Ozolnieki

Mersrags

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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