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Ozolnieki vs Upesciems

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ozolnieki in this Latvian Cup 2011/2012 tie, finishing 4-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Ozolnieki
15%
Draws
28%
Upesciems
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ozolnieki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Upesciems have won more games recently than Ozolnieki.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Ozolnieki taking it.
  • Upesciems arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ozolnieki, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 55%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ozolnieki Clean Sheet 10%
Upesciems Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ozolnieki Upesciems
Matches Played 8 20
Wins 3 8
Draws 0 0
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.63 1.8
Goals Conceded 2.75 2.35
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.20
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2011 Latvian Cup
Ozolnieki vs Upesciems
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ozolnieki 47 / 100
Upesciems 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ozolnieki Upesciems

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ozolnieki Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Upesciems's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 19 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Ozolnieki scored in 63% of their last 8 outings.

Difficult form: Upesciems registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ozolnieki VS Upesciems
2 Goals Scored 2
2.4 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
80% Over 2.5 88%
60% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ozolnieki

(Home)
16 Jun
Ozolnieki
0 : 2
Grobina
17 Jul
Ozolnieki
0 : 3
Tukums 2000
07 Jul
Ozolnieki
4 : 1
Upesciems
14 Jun
FK Auda Riga
6 : 2
Ozolnieki
06 Jun
Ozolnieki
4 : 0
Mersrags
Page 1 of 2

Upesciems

(Away)
22 May
Upesciems
0 : 3
Dobele Allegro
18 Jul
Upesciems
2 : 4
Speks
03 Aug
Upesciems
1 : 3
FK Limbazi
17 Jun
Bebri
3 : 0
Upesciems
02 Jun
Upesciems
5 : 2
Lubana
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Skonto -
TBD -
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Zelis Gulbene -
TBD -
FK Dobele 0
Marupe 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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FC Jurmala -
FK Daugava Riga -
TBD -
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Ozolnieki 4
Mersrags 0
Sigulda 0
FK Auda Riga 1
FK Aluksne 2
Bebri 0
Austrumi 1
Upesciems 2
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Valmiera -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ogre -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Gulbene -
Jelgava -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Olimps Riga -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Avantis 3
FK Ergli 0
FK Olaine 0
Iecava 1
TBD -
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Ventspils -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
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TBD -
TBD -
Grobina 1
Kekava 0
Aizkraukle 0
FK Smiltene 3
Brali 4
Jelgava/Jauniesi 3
Plavinas 3
FK Madona Kvarcs 1
FK 1625 Liepaja -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
Rezekne -
TBD -
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FK Liepaja -
1/64-finals
Skonto -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zelis Gulbene 3
Marupe 1
TBD -
RFS -
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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FC Jurmala -
FK Daugava Riga -
TBD -
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TBD -
Ozolnieki 2
FK Auda Riga 6
FK Aluksne 0
Upesciems 3
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Valmiera -
TBD -
TBD -
Ogre -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Gulbene -
Jelgava -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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Olimps Riga -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
Avantis 0
Iecava 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventspils -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Grobina -
FK Smiltene -
Brali 1
FK Madona Kvarcs 6
FK 1625 Liepaja -
TBD -
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Rezekne -
TBD -
TBD -
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FK Liepaja -
1/32-finals
Skonto -
TBD -
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Zelis Gulbene 0
RFS 12
FK Metta 3
BFC Daugavpils 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Jurmala -
FK Daugava Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ozolnieki 4
Upesciems 1
FK Auda Riga 0
Tukums 2000 2
Valmiera 4
Ogre 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gulbene -
Jelgava -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Olimps Riga -
Spartaks Jurmala 5
Iecava 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventspils -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grobina 0
FK Madona Kvarcs 1
FK 1625 Liepaja 2
Rezekne 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
1/16-finals
Skonto -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Jurmala -
FK Daugava Riga -
TBD -
Ozolnieki 0
Tukums 2000 3
Valmiera -
TBD -
TBD -
Gulbene -
Jelgava -
TBD -
TBD -
Olimps Riga -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventspils -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Madona Kvarcs -
FK 1625 Liepaja -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
1/8-finals
Skonto 2
RFS 0
FK Metta 0
FC Jurmala 3
FK Daugava Riga 4
Tukums 2000 0
Valmiera 1
Gulbene 3
Jelgava 3
Olimps Riga 1
Spartaks Jurmala 1
Ventspils 2
FC Daugava Daugavpils 11
FK Madona Kvarcs 0
FK 1625 Liepaja 1
FK Liepaja 3
Quarter-finals
Skonto 1
FC Jurmala 0
FK Daugava Riga 1
Gulbene 3
Jelgava 2
Ventspils 1
FC Daugava Daugavpils 0
FK Liepaja 1
Semi-finals
Skonto 1
Gulbene 0
Jelgava 1
FK Liepaja 4
Final
Skonto 2
FK Liepaja 1