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Ozolnieki vs Viesulis

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2009/2010
Sun, Oct 18, 2009
2 - 1
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ozolnieki in this Latvian Cup 2009/2010 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ozolnieki
25%
Draws
35%
Viesulis
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Ozolnieki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ozolnieki lately — more wins on the board than Viesulis.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Ozolnieki have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ozolnieki, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ozolnieki Clean Sheet 14%
Viesulis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ozolnieki Viesulis
Matches Played 8 2
Wins 3 0
Draws 0 0
Losses 5 2
Goals Scored 1.63 0.5
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2009 Latvian Cup
Ozolnieki vs Viesulis
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ozolnieki 31 / 100
Viesulis 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ozolnieki Viesulis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Viesulis's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 2 matches.

Ozolnieki found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (8 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Ozolnieki has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ozolnieki VS Viesulis
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ozolnieki

(Home)
16 Jun
Ozolnieki
0 : 2
Grobina
17 Jul
Ozolnieki
0 : 3
Tukums 2000
07 Jul
Ozolnieki
4 : 1
Upesciems
14 Jun
FK Auda Riga
6 : 2
Ozolnieki
06 Jun
Ozolnieki
4 : 0
Mersrags
Page 1 of 2

Viesulis

(Away)
26 Jul
FK Olaine
1 : 0
Viesulis
18 Oct
Ozolnieki
2 : 1
Viesulis

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Jelgava -
TBD -
Viesulis 1
Ozolnieki 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tranzits -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
TBD -
Gulbene 2
Adazi 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Ventspils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bauskas BJSS 4
Elvi 1
TBD -
FC Jurmala -
Kauguri-PBLC -
TBD -
FK Olaine 0
Jelgava BJSS 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Skonto -
Olimps Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Flaminko 10
JFC Dobele 0
Brali 3
FK 1625 Liepaja 4
FK Metta -
TBD -
Plavinas 0
FK Madona Kvarcs 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
Blazma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vilki/Marupe 1
Priekuli 0
Bebri 4
Upesciems 5
Valka 5
FK Alberts 1
TBD -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Daugava Riga -
1/16-finals
Jelgava 6
Ozolnieki 0
TBD -
Tranzits -
FC Daugava Daugavpils 4
Adazi 1
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Ventspils -
TBD -
Bauskas BJSS 0
FC Jurmala 2
Kauguri-PBLC 8
Jelgava BJSS 1
TBD -
Skonto -
Olimps Riga -
TBD -
Flaminko 0
FK 1625 Liepaja 1
FK Metta 4
FK Madona Kvarcs 0
TBD -
RFS -
Blazma -
TBD -
Vilki/Marupe 2
Upesciems 3
Valka 1
FK Auda Riga 0
TBD -
FK Daugava Riga -
1/8-finals
Jelgava 2
Tranzits 1
FC Daugava Daugavpils 1
FK Liepaja 4
Ventspils 4
FC Jurmala 0
Kauguri-PBLC 0
Skonto 3
Olimps Riga 2
FK 1625 Liepaja 0
FK Metta 1
RFS 3
Blazma 5
Upesciems 0
Valka 0
FK Daugava Riga 13
Quarter-finals
Jelgava 4
FK Liepaja 3
Ventspils 0
Skonto 1
Olimps Riga 4
RFS 0
Blazma 0
FK Daugava Riga 4
Semi-finals
Jelgava 2
Skonto 1
Olimps Riga 1
FK Daugava Riga 3
Final
Jelgava 3
FK Daugava Riga 2