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Paceco vs Cittanovese Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group I 2017/2018
Paceco Logo

Paceco

2 - 1
FT
Cittanovese Logo

Cittanovese

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Paceco in this Serie D - Group I 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paceco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Paceco
15%
Draws
64%
Cittanovese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cittanovese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cittanovese lately — more wins on the board than Paceco.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Paceco Clean Sheet 20%
Cittanovese Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paceco Cittanovese
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 4 11
Draws 3 8
Losses 23 19
Goals Scored 0.83 1
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2018 Serie D - Group I
Paceco vs Cittanovese
2:1
Nov 5, 2017 Serie D - Group I
Cittanovese vs Paceco
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paceco 32 / 100
Cittanovese 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paceco Cittanovese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cittanovese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Paceco's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Cittanovese let in goals in 71% of their last 38 matches.

Cittanovese's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cittanovese
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 13%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Paceco

(Home)
06 May
Paceco
1 : 2
Roccella
29 Apr
ACR Messina
5 : 0
Paceco
22 Apr
Paceco
1 : 2
Troina
15 Apr
AS Acireale
1 : 1
Paceco
08 Apr
Paceco
1 : 3
Gelbison
Page 1 of 6

Cittanovese

(Away)
07 May
Lamezia Terme
4 : 1
Cittanovese
30 Apr
Cittanovese
0 : 2
Canicatti
23 Apr
Castrovillari
1 : 0
Cittanovese
16 Apr
S. Agata
0 : 1
Cittanovese
06 Apr
Cittanovese
0 : 1
Paterno
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vibonese 34 22 10 2 67:24 76
2 Troina 34 24 4 6 59:28 76
3 Nocerina 34 20 9 5 50:20 69
4 Vesuvio Ercolanese 34 19 7 8 58:33 64
5 Igea Virtus 34 18 6 10 43:25 60
6 ACR Messina 34 14 11 9 57:39 53
7 Gela 34 13 13 8 56:46 52
8 AS Acireale 34 14 9 11 47:45 51
9 Gelbison 34 11 14 9 36:42 47
10 Cittanovese 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
11 Portici 1906 34 12 6 16 35:44 42
12 Sancataldese 34 11 7 16 40:41 40
13 Roccella 34 10 8 16 41:49 38
14 US Palmese 34 11 10 13 47:54 37
15 Ebolitana 34 6 12 16 32:50 30
16 Pro Palazzolo (Inactive) 34 5 10 19 26:53 25
17 Paceco 34 6 3 25 30:74 20
18 Isola Capo Rizzuto 34 2 6 26 15:69 12
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2017/2018 (Play Offs)