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Paceco vs Ebolitana Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group I 2017/2018
Paceco Logo

Paceco

1 - 2
FT
Ebolitana Logo

Ebolitana

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ebolitana in this Serie D - Group I 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ebolitana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Paceco
20%
Draws
70%
Ebolitana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ebolitana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ebolitana lately — more wins on the board than Paceco.
  • Ebolitana are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Paceco Clean Sheet 13%
Ebolitana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paceco Ebolitana
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 6
Draws 3 11
Losses 23 13
Goals Scored 0.83 0.87
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 1.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2018 Serie D - Group I
Paceco vs Ebolitana
1:2
Oct 8, 2017 Serie D - Group I
Ebolitana vs Paceco
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paceco 10 / 100
Ebolitana 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paceco Ebolitana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ebolitana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paceco found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Ebolitana conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Paceco went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paceco VS Ebolitana
0.67 Goals Scored 0.63
2.67 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
83% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Paceco

(Home)
06 May
Paceco
1 : 2
Roccella
29 Apr
ACR Messina
5 : 0
Paceco
22 Apr
Paceco
1 : 2
Troina
15 Apr
AS Acireale
1 : 1
Paceco
08 Apr
Paceco
1 : 3
Gelbison
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Ebolitana

(Away)
27 Sept
Ebolitana
1 : 0
Melfi
20 Sept
Manfredonia
3 : 0
Ebolitana
16 Sept
Ebolitana
2 : 1
Bisceglie
12 Sept
Ebolitana
1 : 1
A.C.D. Nardo
06 Sept
Nocerina
2 : 1
Ebolitana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vibonese 34 22 10 2 67:24 76
2 Troina 34 24 4 6 59:28 76
3 Nocerina 34 20 9 5 50:20 69
4 Vesuvio Ercolanese 34 19 7 8 58:33 64
5 Igea Virtus 34 18 6 10 43:25 60
6 ACR Messina 34 14 11 9 57:39 53
7 Gela 34 13 13 8 56:46 52
8 AS Acireale 34 14 9 11 47:45 51
9 Gelbison 34 11 14 9 36:42 47
10 Cittanovese 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
11 Portici 1906 34 12 6 16 35:44 42
12 Sancataldese 34 11 7 16 40:41 40
13 Roccella 34 10 8 16 41:49 38
14 US Palmese 34 11 10 13 47:54 37
15 Ebolitana 34 6 12 16 32:50 30
16 Pro Palazzolo (Inactive) 34 5 10 19 26:53 25
17 Paceco 34 6 3 25 30:74 20
18 Isola Capo Rizzuto 34 2 6 26 15:69 12
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2017/2018 (Play Offs)