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Pachern vs Tillmitsch

Austria Austria

Steiermark 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Steiermark 2025/2026 game between Pachern and Tillmitsch finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tillmitsch.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Pachern
20%
Draws
51%
Tillmitsch
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tillmitsch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tillmitsch come out ahead of Pachern on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Tillmitsch taking it.
  • Regular Steiermark 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Tillmitsch have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Pachern Clean Sheet 10%
Tillmitsch Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pachern Tillmitsch
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 5 19
Draws 3 2
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 1.07 2.27
Goals Conceded 2.61 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Steiermark
Pachern vs Tillmitsch
0:3
Oct 11, 2025 Steiermark
Tillmitsch vs Pachern
3:0
Feb 2, 2024 Club Friendly
Pachern vs Tillmitsch
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pachern 26 / 100
Tillmitsch 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pachern Tillmitsch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tillmitsch Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tillmitsch's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Pachern found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

Pachern went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pachern VS Tillmitsch
0.63 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pachern

(Home)
04 Sept
Furstenfeld
0 : 2
Pachern
28 Aug
TUS Bad Waltersdorf
1 : 0
Pachern
21 Aug
Pachern
1 : 3
Grossklein
14 Aug
Stadtwerke Bruck/Mur
5 : 0
Pachern
05 Jun
Hohenhaus Schladming
1 : 1
Pachern
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Tillmitsch

(Away)
04 Sept
Allerheiligen
5 : 2
Tillmitsch
28 Aug
Tillmitsch
2 : 2
Deutschlandsberger Wonisch
22 Aug
Lafnitz
1 : 3
Tillmitsch
14 Aug
Tillmitsch
2 : 1
Gleisdorf
07 Aug
Tillmitsch
0 : 1
SC Kalsdorf
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