Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Pachuca host Toluca in the Liga MX. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Pachuca have averaged 1.54 scored and 1.29 conceded recently, against Toluca's 1.83 scored and 1.21 conceded. Head-to-head, Pachuca have won 2 to Toluca's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.75) point toward Pachuca. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Toluca lately — more wins on the board than Pachuca.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Pachuca taking it.
- Regular Liga MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pachuca | Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.54 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pachuca's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Toluca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Recent resilience: Pachuca stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Pachuca
(Home)Toluca
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 34:19 | 28 |
| 2 | Atlas | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 26:26 | 27 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 32:23 | 26 |
| 4 | Guadalajara Chivas | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:12 | 26 |
| 5 | Toluca | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29:19 | 23 |
| 6 | Club Leon | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 21:18 | 22 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 22:18 | 21 |
| 8 | Monterrey | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 23:18 | 20 |
| 9 | UNAM Pumas | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22:24 | 20 |
| 10 | Queretaro | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 18:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Pachuca | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 25:19 | 19 |
| 12 | Santos Laguna | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 13 | Atletico San Luis | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19:23 | 19 |
| 14 | Puebla | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15:22 | 15 |
| 16 | Atlante | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14:20 | 14 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16:27 | 10 |
| 18 | Juarez | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 12:34 | 8 |
