Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pachuca vs UNAM Pumas

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX 2025/2026 Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Idrissi O.
Assist: Guzman V.
58'
Sub
Lopez R. In: Antuna U.
Out: Lopez R.
60'
Morales R.

AI Match Summary

Pachuca in this Liga MX 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Pachuca
28%
Draws
22%
UNAM Pumas
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Pachuca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Pachuca have won more games recently than UNAM Pumas.
  • Win probability leans Pachuca's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Pachuca have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Pachuca, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Pachuca Clean Sheet 68%
UNAM Pumas Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pachuca UNAM Pumas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 14
Draws 4 8
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Liga MX
UNAM Pumas vs Pachuca
0:3
May 18, 2026 Liga MX
UNAM Pumas vs Pachuca
1:0
May 15, 2026 Liga MX
Pachuca vs UNAM Pumas
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 Liga MX
Pachuca vs UNAM Pumas
0:2
Nov 21, 2025 Liga MX
Pachuca vs UNAM Pumas
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pachuca Compare

Top Goalscorer Idrissi O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

UNAM Pumas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pachuca 59 / 100
UNAM Pumas 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pachuca UNAM Pumas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pachuca found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

UNAM Pumas has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Pachuca went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pachuca VS UNAM Pumas
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pachuca

(Home)
27 Jul
Pachuca
1 : 2
Queretaro
18 Jul
UNAM Pumas
0 : 3
Pachuca
04 Jul
Pachuca
3 : 1
Puebla
18 May
UNAM Pumas
1 : 0
Pachuca
15 May
Pachuca
1 : 0
UNAM Pumas
Page 1 of 6

UNAM Pumas

(Away)
22 Jul
Toluca
1 : 2
UNAM Pumas
18 Jul
UNAM Pumas
0 : 3
Pachuca
12 Jul
UNAM Pumas
0 : 1
America De Cali
05 Jul
Cancun
0 : 3
UNAM Pumas
25 May
UNAM Pumas
1 : 2
Cruz Azul
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
UNAM Pumas6
Club America6
Pachuca3
Toluca0
Guadalajara Chivas3
Tigres UANL3
Cruz Azul4
Atlas2
Semi-finals
UNAM Pumas1
Pachuca1
Guadalajara Chivas3
Cruz Azul4
Final
UNAM Pumas1
Cruz Azul2