Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pachuca W vs Juarez W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women 2025/2026 Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Mora De La Torre B. E.
Own Goal
61'
Sub
Caicedo K. In: Minota Y.
Out: Caicedo K.
63'
Sub
Cadena M. In: Martin D.
Out: Cadena M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX Women 2025/2026 game between Pachuca W and Juarez W finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pachuca W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Pachuca W
15%
Draws
71%
Juarez W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Juarez W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Pachuca W's 1.97 goals per match outpaces what Juarez W have produced (1.34).
  • 71% — that's where the model lands on Juarez W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Pachuca W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Pachuca W Clean Sheet 19%
Juarez W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pachuca W Juarez W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 14
Draws 4 7
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.97 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Liga MX Women
Juarez W vs Pachuca W
1:0
Feb 23, 2026 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs Juarez W
3:0
Sep 6, 2025 Liga MX Women
Juarez W vs Pachuca W
2:3
Feb 11, 2025 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs Juarez W
6:1
Nov 11, 2024 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs Juarez W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pachuca W Compare

Top Goalscorer Fragoso Garcia A. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aline Gomes
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Juarez W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pachuca W 10 / 100
Juarez W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pachuca W Juarez W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juarez W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Pachuca W's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Juarez W let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Pachuca W stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pachuca W VS Juarez W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pachuca W

(Home)
20 Sept
Atletico San Luis W
2 : 1
Pachuca W
15 Sept
Pachuca W
0 : 1
Club Leon W
06 Sept
Club Tijuana W
3 : 1
Pachuca W
30 Aug
Tigres UANL W
2 : 0
Pachuca W
23 Aug
Pachuca W
3 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas W
Page 1 of 6

Juarez W

(Away)
21 Sept
Club Leon W
0 : 2
Juarez W
13 Sept
Juarez W
1 : 0
Necaxa W
08 Sept
Atlante W
0 : 1
Juarez W
30 Aug
Juarez W
1 : 0
Cruz Azul W
23 Aug
Juarez W
3 : 2
Santos Laguna W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 17 13 3 1 44:13 42
2 Monterrey W 17 12 4 1 39:8 40
3 Tigres UANL W 17 11 4 2 41:13 37
4 Pachuca W 17 11 3 3 46:15 36
5 Guadalajara Chivas W 17 9 7 1 27:13 34
6 Toluca W 17 10 3 4 38:26 33
7 Cruz Azul W 17 9 4 4 38:19 31
8 Juarez W 17 8 5 4 27:18 29
9 Club Tijuana W 17 8 4 5 31:23 28
10 UNAM Pumas W 17 6 4 7 23:29 22
11 Atletico San Luis W 17 6 3 8 20:32 21
12 Mazatlan FC W 17 5 3 9 19:27 18
13 Club Leon W 17 4 4 9 32:35 16
14 Atlas W 17 3 3 11 22:40 12
15 Puebla W 17 3 2 12 11:46 11
16 Santos Laguna W 17 2 3 12 14:29 9
17 Queretaro W 17 1 2 14 11:46 5
18 Necaxa W 17 1 1 15 11:62 4
Promotion - Liga MX Women 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)