Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pachuca W vs Necaxa W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pachuca W host Necaxa W in the Liga MX Women. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Necaxa W have shipped 3.6 goals a game lately, while Pachuca W have conceded 1.15 and scored 2.18. Past meetings favor Pachuca W slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 27, 2026, ending 0:6. Model xG sits at 2.56 vs 0.94, favoring Pachuca W. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Pachuca W
15%
Draws
0%
Necaxa W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pachuca W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pachuca W lately — more wins on the board than Necaxa W.
  • Win probability leans Pachuca W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Pachuca W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Pachuca W Clean Sheet 20%
Necaxa W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pachuca W Necaxa W
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 18 1
Draws 4 1
Losses 12 28
Goals Scored 2.18 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.15 3.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2026 Liga MX Women
Necaxa W vs Pachuca W
0:6
Sep 15, 2025 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs Necaxa W
5:0
Mar 3, 2025 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs Necaxa W
1:0
Jul 4, 2024 Liga MX Women
Necaxa W vs Pachuca W
0:5
Jan 22, 2024 Liga MX Women
Necaxa W vs Pachuca W
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pachuca W 85 / 100
Necaxa W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pachuca W Necaxa W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pachuca W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pachuca W's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Necaxa W let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Necaxa W registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pachuca W VS Necaxa W
1.13 Goals Scored 0.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 4
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pachuca W

(Home)
05 Oct
Pachuca W
1 : 2
Toluca W
26 Sept
Pachuca W
4 : 1
Santos Laguna W
20 Sept
Atletico San Luis W
2 : 1
Pachuca W
15 Sept
Pachuca W
0 : 1
Club Leon W
06 Sept
Club Tijuana W
3 : 1
Pachuca W
Page 1 of 7

Necaxa W

(Away)
04 Oct
Necaxa W
0 : 2
Cruz Azul W
29 Sept
Necaxa W
0 : 4
Toluca W
19 Sept
Monterrey W
10 : 0
Necaxa W
13 Sept
Juarez W
1 : 0
Necaxa W
05 Sept
Necaxa W
0 : 2
Atletico San Luis W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monterrey W 10 9 0 1 39:13 27
2 Tigres UANL W 10 8 1 1 32:10 25
3 Toluca W 10 7 1 2 25:16 22
4 Juarez W 10 7 0 3 14:7 21
5 Santos Laguna W 10 5 0 5 13:20 15
6 Cruz Azul W 10 5 0 5 13:21 15
7 Club Leon W 9 4 0 5 15:17 12
8 Atlante W 10 2 1 7 6:13 7
9 Queretaro W 10 2 0 8 10:22 6
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 10 8 1 1 45:11 25
2 Guadalajara Chivas W 10 7 0 3 21:11 21
3 Atletico San Luis W 10 6 1 3 23:16 19
4 UNAM Pumas W 10 4 1 5 18:17 13
5 Atlas W 9 3 3 3 10:17 12
6 Pachuca W 10 3 1 6 14:15 10
7 Club Tijuana W 10 3 0 7 13:24 9
8 Puebla W 10 1 0 9 13:39 3
9 Necaxa W 10 0 0 10 3:38 0
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)