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Pachuca W vs Puebla W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto
Fri, Nov 6, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pachuca W host Puebla W in the Liga MX Women. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Puebla W have shipped 3 goals a game lately, while Pachuca W have conceded 1.18 and scored 2.09. Head-to-head, Pachuca W have won 5 to Puebla W's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 21, 2026, ending 7:0. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 1.56, favoring Pachuca W. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Pachuca W
15%
Draws
12%
Puebla W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pachuca W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Puebla W haven't matched Pachuca W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Pachuca W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga MX Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Pachuca W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Pachuca W Clean Sheet 15%
Puebla W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pachuca W Puebla W
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 16 4
Draws 4 3
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 2.09 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.18 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2026 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs Puebla W
7:0
Jul 13, 2025 Liga MX Women
Puebla W vs Pachuca W
1:5
Mar 16, 2025 Liga MX Women
Puebla W vs Pachuca W
0:1
Sep 27, 2024 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs Puebla W
2:0
Mar 5, 2024 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs Puebla W
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pachuca W 84 / 100
Puebla W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pachuca W Puebla W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pachuca W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pachuca W's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Puebla W let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Puebla W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pachuca W VS Puebla W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pachuca W

(Home)
24 Oct
Pachuca W
5 : 0
Necaxa W
19 Oct
Club America W
2 : 1
Pachuca W
05 Oct
Pachuca W
1 : 2
Toluca W
26 Sept
Pachuca W
4 : 1
Santos Laguna W
20 Sept
Atletico San Luis W
2 : 1
Pachuca W
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Puebla W

(Away)
26 Oct
Atlas W
2 : 1
Puebla W
17 Oct
Puebla W
1 : 1
Club Tijuana W
02 Oct
Santos Laguna W
1 : 0
Puebla W
27 Sept
Puebla W
1 : 2
Monterrey W
20 Sept
UNAM Pumas W
2 : 0
Puebla W
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monterrey W 12 10 1 1 42:15 31
2 Tigres UANL W 12 9 2 1 36:12 29
3 Juarez W 12 9 0 3 18:9 27
4 Toluca W 12 8 2 2 27:17 26
5 Club Leon W 12 6 1 5 20:19 19
6 Santos Laguna W 12 5 1 6 14:22 16
7 Cruz Azul W 12 5 0 7 14:24 15
8 Atlante W 12 2 1 9 6:16 7
9 Queretaro W 12 2 0 10 11:26 6
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 12 10 1 1 54:12 31
2 Guadalajara Chivas W 12 9 0 3 29:11 27
3 Atletico San Luis W 12 6 1 5 24:25 19
4 UNAM Pumas W 12 5 2 5 20:18 17
5 Atlas W 12 4 4 4 13:20 16
6 Pachuca W 12 4 1 7 20:17 13
7 Club Tijuana W 12 3 2 7 15:26 11
8 Puebla W 12 1 1 10 15:42 4
9 Necaxa W 12 0 0 12 3:50 0
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)