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Stadium Background

Pacific FC vs HFX Wanderers

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League Starlight Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Ciccarelli T.
Assist: Bahamboula J.
42'
Heard J.
46'
Sub
Ciccarelli T. In: Arilla M.
Out: Ciccarelli T.

AI Match Summary

HFX Wanderers in this Canadian Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored HFX Wanderers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Pacific FC
33%
Draws
40%
HFX Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: HFX Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Pacific FC haven't matched HFX Wanderers's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans HFX Wanderers's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Pacific FC Clean Sheet 12%
HFX Wanderers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pacific FC HFX Wanderers
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 3 8
Draws 9 7
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Pacific FC vs HFX Wanderers
1:2
Jun 26, 2026 Canadian Premier League
HFX Wanderers vs Pacific FC
5:2
Apr 18, 2026 Canadian Premier League
HFX Wanderers vs Pacific FC
2:2
Sep 20, 2025 Canadian Premier League
HFX Wanderers vs Pacific FC
3:0
Aug 16, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Pacific FC vs HFX Wanderers
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pacific FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

HFX Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Ciccarelli T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Callegari L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pacific FC 27 / 100
HFX Wanderers 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pacific FC HFX Wanderers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HFX Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Pacific FC scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

HFX Wanderers let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Away concern: HFX Wanderers has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pacific FC VS HFX Wanderers
1 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Forge FC12101120:731
2Cavalry1283123:627
3Atletico Ottawa1353519:2318
4Vancouver FC1352620:1517
5HFX Wanderers1444618:2116
6Inter Toronto1134414:2213
7Supra du Quebec1132615:2111
8Pacific FC1203913:273