Sport Picks
Pacos Ferreira vs Gafanha
Portugal
Taça de Portugal 2018/2019 Estádio da Capital do Móvel, Paços de Ferreira 
Match Events
46'
46'
Douglas Tanque
56'
56'
Douglas Tanque
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-0, with Pacos Ferreira advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
20%
60%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gafanha
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Pacos Ferreira have managed 0.87 goals a game lately — Gafanha are scoring more at 1.2.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Pacos Ferreira taking it.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Pacos Ferreira, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Pacos Ferreira Clean Sheet 20%
Gafanha Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pacos Ferreira | Gafanha |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 3 |
| Losses | 14 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 2.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 21, 2018 Taça de Portugal
Pacos Ferreira vs Gafanha
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pacos Ferreira Compare
Top Goalscorer Douglas Tanque
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Gafanha Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pacos Ferreira 42 / 100
Gafanha 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pacos Ferreira Gafanha
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Gafanha conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Away concern: Gafanha has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Pacos Ferreira's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Pacos Ferreira VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Pacos Ferreira
(Home) 13 Sept
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 1 Sao Joao de Ver
05 Sept
SC Vianense
2 : 2 Pacos Ferreira
29 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1 AD Fafe
22 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 4 Varzim
15 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1 Paredes
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 1 Sao Joao de Ver
29 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1 AD Fafe
22 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 4 Varzim
15 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1 Paredes
29 Jul
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 0 FC Felgueiras
Page 1 of 4
Gafanha
(Away) 12 May
Gafanha
0 : 4 SC Espinho
05 May
Amarante FC
2 : 1 Gafanha
28 Apr
Gafanha
2 : 1 Lusitano FCV
20 Apr
Gondomar
6 : 1 Gafanha
14 Apr
Gafanha
2 : 1 Meda
Page 1 of 6
05 May
Amarante FC
2 : 1 Gafanha
20 Apr
Gondomar
6 : 1 Gafanha
07 Apr
U. Madeira
0 : 2 Gafanha
24 Mar
Sanjoanense
2 : 0 Gafanha
17 Mar
Pedras Rubras
2 : 1 Gafanha
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/128-finals
FC Porto -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sanjoanense 2
Nogueirense 0
GD Uniao Torcatense 1
SC Vila Real 2
Amora 3
Louletano 2
Regua 2
Lamego 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BSAD -
Covilha -
TBD -
Meda 0
FC Cesarense 1
Mafra -
TBD -
Valenciano 0
AD Limianos 4
Sao Martinho 6
Machico 1
Lusitano FCV 2
Beira Mar 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moreirense -
Tondela -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 2
Uniao SC 1
TBD -
Estoril -
Coimbroes -
TBD -
TBD -
Mirandes -
Leiria 2
SB Castelo Branco 1
TBD -
Vale Formoso -
Anadia 3
Penalva do Castelo 1
Praia Milfontes 0
Aljustrelense 1
Tomar 2
UC Idanhense 1
TBD -
Vilafranquense -
Amarante FC 6
AD Oliveirense 0
TBD -
Vila Flor -
Leca -
TBD -
TBD -
Leixoes -
Aves -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Varzim -
TBD -
Alverca 1
Sacavenense 2
Portimonense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gondomar 2
Leca 0
TBD -
Cova De Piedade -
Santa Clara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CD Torres Novas -
TBD -
Mirandes 0
Maria de Fonte 4
Pedras Salgadas 3
CDC Montalegre 2
TBD -
Academica -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chaves -
Vitoria Setubal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Beneditense -
TBD -
Juv. Evora 1
Armacenenses 3
AD Fafe 2
GD Joane 0
TBD -
Sporting Ideal -
Trofense 1
Vizela 0
TBD -
Penafiel -
SC Praiense 3
Redondense 0
Vale Formoso 0
Pinhalnovense 5
SC Lourinhanense -
TBD -
Gafetense 0
Santa Iria 8
FC Felgueiras 9
Vila Flor 0
TBD -
GD Joane -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braga -
Benfica -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria Sernache 1
Alcains 0
Beneditense 0
Sertanense 2
SC Farense -
TBD -
TBD -
Portalegrense -
Cacadores Taipas 3
Vilaverdense FC 2
TBD -
Arouca -
Agueda 2
Trancoso 1
TBD -
Famalicao -
Valadares Gaia FC 1
Paredes 0
TBD -
Louletano -
Oriental 3
FC Barreirense 1
Ferreiras 0
Lusitano GC 1
GD Peniche 2
SC Lourinhanense 1
TBD -
CDC Montalegre -
Boavista -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oliveirense -
TBD -
TBD -
Fatima -
Academico Viseu -
TBD -
TBD -
Alverca -
Sintrense 2
1º Dezembro 1
Cinfaes 0
SC Espinho 1
U. Madeira 3
Lusitania FC 1
Vieira 1
Merelinense 3
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz 2
CD Torres Novas 0
TBD -
Uniao SC -
Valenciano -
TBD -
TBD -
Praia Milfontes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Feirense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Real SC 2
Sporting Ideal 0
Pedras Rubras 1
SC Mirandela 2
Moura AC 1
Almancilense 0
Coimbroes 0
Rio Tinto 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maritimo -
Casa Pia 6
Graciosa FC 0
CD Rabo Peixe 0
Montijo 1
Vila Silgueiros -
TBD -
Maritimo Graciosa 0
SC Angrense 3
Gafanha 2
Vila Silgueiros 0
Vilafranquense 0
Caldas SC 1
Condeixa 3
Macao 2
TBD -
Pacos Ferreira -
Rio Ave -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eirense 2
CD Gouveia 0
Coutada 0
Torreense 2
Chaves B 6
Vinhais 1
SC Vianense 0
Gil Vicente 1
Paredes -
TBD -
Olhanense 0
Silves FC 1
Lusitano FCV -
TBD -
FC Pampilhosa 0
Oliveira Hospital 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nacional -
GS Loures 6
Portalegrense 1
Fatima 0
Oleiros 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting CP -
1/64-finals
FC Porto -
TBD -
Sanjoanense 2
SC Vila Real 3
Amora 8
Lamego 0
TBD -
BSAD -
Covilha 2
FC Cesarense 1
Mafra 1
AD Limianos 2
Sao Martinho 1
Beira Mar 0
TBD -
Moreirense -
Tondela -
TBD -
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 0
Estoril 1
Coimbroes 3
Mirandes 2
Leiria 0
Vale Formoso 3
Anadia 3
Aljustrelense 1
Tomar 0
Vilafranquense 3
Amarante FC 5
Vila Flor 0
Leca 0
Leixoes 3
Aves -
TBD -
Varzim 1
Sacavenense 2
Portimonense -
TBD -
Gondomar 1
Cova De Piedade 2
Santa Clara -
TBD -
CD Torres Novas 0
Maria de Fonte 4
Pedras Salgadas 1
Academica 0
TBD -
Chaves -
Vitoria Setubal -
TBD -
Beneditense 0
Armacenenses 3
AD Fafe 1
Sporting Ideal 0
Trofense 2
Penafiel 3
SC Praiense 5
Pinhalnovense 1
SC Lourinhanense 1
Santa Iria 3
FC Felgueiras 2
GD Joane 0
TBD -
Braga -
Benfica -
TBD -
Vitoria Sernache 1
Sertanense 3
SC Farense 3
Portalegrense 0
Cacadores Taipas 0
Arouca 1
Agueda 1
Famalicao 0
Valadares Gaia FC 0
Louletano 1
Oriental 3
Lusitano GC 1
GD Peniche 1
CDC Montalegre 3
Boavista -
TBD -
Oliveirense 0
Fatima 1
Academico Viseu 3
Alverca 0
Sintrense 0
SC Espinho 1
U. Madeira 3
Merelinense 0
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz 2
Uniao SC 4
Valenciano 5
Praia Milfontes 2
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Feirense -
TBD -
Real SC 0
SC Mirandela 1
Moura AC 4
Rio Tinto 1
TBD -
Maritimo -
Casa Pia 2
Montijo 0
Vila Silgueiros 0
SC Angrense 2
Gafanha 2
Caldas SC 1
Condeixa 1
Pacos Ferreira 3
Rio Ave -
TBD -
Eirense 0
Torreense 3
Chaves B 1
Gil Vicente 0
Paredes 1
Silves FC 2
Lusitano FCV 2
Oliveira Hospital 1
TBD -
Nacional -
GS Loures 1
Oleiros 0
TBD -
Sporting CP -
1/32-finals
FC Porto 6
SC Vila Real 0
Amora 3
BSAD 4
Covilha 2
AD Limianos 0
Sao Martinho 0
Moreirense 1
Tondela 2
Estoril 1
Coimbroes 3
Vale Formoso 4
Anadia 4
Vilafranquense 0
Amarante FC 1
Leixoes 3
Aves 3
Sacavenense 1
Portimonense 1
Cova De Piedade 2
Santa Clara 2
Maria de Fonte 1
Pedras Salgadas 1
Chaves 4
Vitoria Setubal 2
Armacenenses 1
AD Fafe 0
Penafiel 1
SC Praiense 2
Santa Iria 0
FC Felgueiras 0
Braga 1
Benfica 3
Sertanense 0
SC Farense 1
Arouca 3
Agueda 1
Louletano 0
Oriental 1
CDC Montalegre 2
Boavista 4
Fatima 1
Academico Viseu 3
SC Espinho 4
U. Madeira 2
Uniao SC 0
Valenciano 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 7
Feirense 2
SC Mirandela 1
Moura AC 0
Maritimo 1
Casa Pia 2
SC Angrense 1
Gafanha 0
Pacos Ferreira 2
Rio Ave 5
Torreense 1
Chaves B 1
Silves FC 2
Lusitano FCV 4
Nacional 3
GS Loures 1
Sporting CP 2
1/16-finals
FC Porto 2
BSAD 0
Covilha 0
Moreirense 3
Tondela 7
Vale Formoso 0
Anadia 0
Leixoes 1
Aves 3
Cova De Piedade 0
Santa Clara 1
Chaves 2
Vitoria Setubal 4
Penafiel 1
SC Praiense 1
Braga 2
Benfica 2
Arouca 1
Agueda 0
CDC Montalegre 1
Boavista 4
SC Espinho 0
U. Madeira 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Feirense 3
Maritimo 0
Casa Pia 1
Pacos Ferreira 3
Rio Ave 7
Silves FC 0
Lusitano FCV 1
Sporting CP 4
1/8-finals
FC Porto 4
Moreirense 3
Tondela 2
Leixoes 3
Aves 2
Chaves 0
Vitoria Setubal 0
Braga 1
Benfica 1
CDC Montalegre 0
Boavista 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Feirense 2
Pacos Ferreira 1
Rio Ave 2
Sporting CP 5
Quarter-finals
FC Porto 2
Leixoes 1
Aves 1
Braga 2
Benfica 1
Vitoria Guimaraes 0
Feirense 0
Sporting CP 2
Semi-finals
FC Porto 4
Braga 1
Benfica 2
Sporting CP 2
Final
FC Porto 2
Sporting CP 3
