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Paderborn vs Charleroi Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Blum L.
44' Event
Batzner N.
66' Event
Tigges S.

AI Match Summary

Paderborn in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paderborn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Paderborn
15%
Draws
54%
Charleroi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Charleroi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Paderborn have won more games recently than Charleroi.
  • Charleroi are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Paderborn Clean Sheet 14%
Charleroi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paderborn Charleroi
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 14 12
Draws 9 5
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.79 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Paderborn vs Charleroi
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paderborn Compare

Top Goalscorer Batzner N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tigges S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Charleroi Compare

Top Goalscorer Blum L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Colassin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paderborn 23 / 100
Charleroi 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paderborn Charleroi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Charleroi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Paderborn scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Charleroi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Solid form: Paderborn remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Paderborn VS Charleroi
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Paderborn

(Home)
20 Sept
Paderborn
3 : 1
Hoffenheim
12 Sept
Dortmund
3 : 0
Paderborn
05 Sept
Paderborn
0 : 1
Freiburg
29 Aug
Mainz
0 : 0
Paderborn
23 Aug
Phonix Lubeck
2 : 4
Paderborn
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Charleroi

(Away)
19 Sept
Charleroi
3 : 2
Cercle Brugge
13 Sept
Waregem
0 : 1
Charleroi
05 Sept
Charleroi
2 : 3
Royale Union SG
29 Aug
Kortrijk
1 : 3
Charleroi
22 Aug
Charleroi
2 : 0
KV Mechelen
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