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Paderborn vs Charleroi

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Blum L.
44' Event
Batzner N.
66' Event
Tigges S.

AI Match Summary

Paderborn in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paderborn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Paderborn
22%
Draws
18%
Charleroi
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Paderborn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Paderborn have won more games recently than Charleroi.
  • Paderborn are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Paderborn Clean Sheet 16%
Charleroi Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paderborn Charleroi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Paderborn vs Charleroi
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paderborn Compare

Top Goalscorer Batzner N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tigges S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Charleroi Compare

Top Goalscorer Blum L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Colassin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paderborn 57 / 100
Charleroi 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paderborn Charleroi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Paderborn scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Paderborn stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Charleroi conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Paderborn VS Charleroi
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Paderborn

(Home)
17 Jul
Paderborn
3 : 1
Okayama
25 May
Paderborn
2 : 1
Wolfsburg
21 May
Wolfsburg
0 : 0
Paderborn
17 May
Darmstadt
0 : 2
Paderborn
08 May
Paderborn
2 : 2
Karlsruher
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Charleroi

(Away)
25 Jul
Charleroi
2 : 1
RFC Seraing
25 Jul
Lens
2 : 2
Charleroi
17 Jul
Feyenoord
3 : 1
Charleroi
11 Jul
Charleroi
2 : 2
Reims
23 May
St. Liege
0 : 2
Charleroi
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