Sport Picks
Paderborn vs VfB Stuttgart - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
DFB Pokal Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn 
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 1-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Paderborn at 1.74 goals for, 1.37 against; VfB Stuttgart at 2.63 for, 1.25 against. Head-to-head, Paderborn have won 0 to VfB Stuttgart's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 10, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (0.69 xG vs 1.88) point toward VfB Stuttgart. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and VfB Stuttgart come out ahead of Paderborn on wins alone.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- VfB Stuttgart arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor VfB Stuttgart, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors VfB Stuttgart here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Paderborn | VfB Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 32 |
| Wins | 13 | 18 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 5 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.74 | 2.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Paderborn's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Defensive concern: VfB Stuttgart conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Paderborn stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
