Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Paderborn vs Wolfsburg

Germany Germany

Bundesliga 2025/2026 Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn
Mon, May 25, 2026
2 - 1
06:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Pejcinovic D.
Assist: Daghim A.
11'
Bilbija F.
11'
Maehle J.

AI Match Summary

Paderborn in this Bundesliga 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Paderborn
30%
Draws
34%
Wolfsburg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Paderborn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Paderborn have won more games recently than Wolfsburg.
  • Paderborn are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Paderborn have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Wolfsburg, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Paderborn Clean Sheet 16%
Wolfsburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paderborn Wolfsburg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 7 8
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.75 1
Goals Conceded 1.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Bundesliga
Paderborn vs Wolfsburg
2:1
May 21, 2026 Bundesliga
Wolfsburg vs Paderborn
0:0
Jan 4, 2022 Club Friendly
Wolfsburg vs Paderborn
5:4
Feb 2, 2020 Bundesliga
Paderborn vs Wolfsburg
2:4
Aug 31, 2019 Bundesliga
Wolfsburg vs Paderborn
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paderborn Compare

Top Goalscorer Bilbija F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Curda L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Wolfsburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Pejcinovic D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paderborn 36 / 100
Wolfsburg 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paderborn Wolfsburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paderborn found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Wolfsburg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Paderborn remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Paderborn VS Wolfsburg
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Paderborn

(Home)
17 Jul
Paderborn
3 : 1
Okayama
25 May
Paderborn
2 : 1
Wolfsburg
21 May
Wolfsburg
0 : 0
Paderborn
17 May
Darmstadt
0 : 2
Paderborn
08 May
Paderborn
2 : 2
Karlsruher
Page 1 of 6

Wolfsburg

(Away)
24 Jul
Wolfsburg
0 : 2
Lyon
18 Jul
Wolfsburg
3 : 0
Verl
11 Jul
Schoningen
2 : 8
Wolfsburg
25 May
Paderborn
2 : 1
Wolfsburg
21 May
Wolfsburg
0 : 0
Paderborn
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Wolfsburg1
Paderborn2