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Padinska Skela vs Zvezdara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Padinska Skela host Zvezdara in the Srpska Liga - Belgrade. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Padinska Skela at 0.89 goals for, 1.14 against; Zvezdara at 1.29 for, 1.86 against. Head-to-head, Padinska Skela have won 2 to Zvezdara's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.25 - 1.06) back Padinska Skela to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Padinska Skela
15%
Draws
36%
Zvezdara
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Padinska Skela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Zvezdara have won more games recently than Padinska Skela.
  • Padinska Skela are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Srpska Liga - Belgrade form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Padinska Skela Clean Sheet 20%
Zvezdara Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Padinska Skela Zvezdara
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 10
Draws 10 4
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 0.89 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Zvezdara vs Padinska Skela
0:2
Sep 27, 2025 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Padinska Skela vs Zvezdara
0:0
May 25, 2024 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Zvezdara vs Padinska Skela
1:2
Nov 12, 2023 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Padinska Skela vs Zvezdara
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Padinska Skela 67 / 100
Zvezdara 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Padinska Skela Zvezdara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Padinska Skela Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Zvezdara conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Zvezdara has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Padinska Skela scored in 54% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Padinska Skela VS Zvezdara
0.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Padinska Skela

(Home)
03 Oct
Buducnost Dobanovci
1 : 0
Padinska Skela
27 Sept
Padinska Skela
0 : 0
Usce
20 Sept
Padinska Skela
3 : 1
BASK
13 Sept
Radnicki Obrenovac
3 : 0
Padinska Skela
06 Sept
Padinska Skela
0 : 2
Nika Lepusnica
Page 1 of 6

Zvezdara

(Away)
03 Oct
Zvezdara
0 : 2
Radnicki Obrenovac
27 Sept
Nika Lepusnica
2 : 0
Zvezdara
19 Sept
Zvezdara
3 : 2
Polet Dorcol
12 Sept
Torlak
5 : 1
Zvezdara
05 Sept
Zvezdara
0 : 1
Bezanija
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Usce 8 5 1 2 14:9 16
2 Buducnost Dobanovci 8 4 3 1 13:5 15
3 Bezanija 8 5 0 3 13:9 15
4 Radnicki Obrenovac 7 4 2 1 12:5 14
5 Nika Lepusnica 7 4 2 1 12:7 14
6 Torlak 7 3 2 2 12:10 11
7 Brodarac 7 3 0 4 9:11 9
8 BASK 8 3 0 5 12:15 9
9 Zvezdara 7 3 0 4 9:12 9
10 Polet Dorcol 7 1 4 2 7:8 7
11 Bacevac 7 2 1 4 10:14 7
12 Padinska Skela 7 1 3 3 3:7 6
13 Prva Iskra 7 2 0 5 4:12 6
14 Jedinstvo Surcin 7 1 2 4 7:13 5
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Srpska Liga - Belgrade (Relegation)