Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Padova U19 vs Sudtirol U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Kasala A.
27' Event
Tumiatti F.
29' Event
Lorubbio D.

AI Match Summary

The Primavera 2 2025/2026 game between Padova U19 and Sudtirol U19 finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Padova U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Padova U19
20%
Draws
38%
Sudtirol U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Padova U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sudtirol U19 come out ahead of Padova U19 on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Primavera 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Padova U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Sudtirol U19 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Padova U19 Sudtirol U19
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 4 8
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.3 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Primavera 2
Padova U19 vs Sudtirol U19
3:2
Nov 29, 2025 Primavera 2
Sudtirol U19 vs Padova U19
2:1
Mar 1, 2025 Primavera 2
Sudtirol U19 vs Padova U19
1:1
Oct 19, 2024 Primavera 2
Padova U19 vs Sudtirol U19
2:1
Apr 6, 2024 Primavera 2
Sudtirol U19 vs Padova U19
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Padova U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kasala A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tumiatti F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Sudtirol U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lorubbio D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fois D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Padova U19 32 / 100
Sudtirol U19 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Padova U19 Sudtirol U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Padova U19 scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Sudtirol U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Padova U19 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Padova U19 VS Sudtirol U19
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Padova U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Entella U19
4 : 1
Padova U19
12 Sept
Padova U19
1 : 0
Reggiana U19
05 Sept
Udinese U19
0 : 4
Padova U19
29 Aug
Bari U19
1 : 0
Padova U19
23 May
Venezia U19
0 : 1
Padova U19
Page 1 of 6

Sudtirol U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Reggiana U19
0 : 0
Sudtirol U19
12 Sept
Sudtirol U19
0 : 0
Mantova U19
05 Sept
Vicenza U19
3 : 0
Sudtirol U19
21 Aug
Sudtirol U19
5 : 0
Cosenza U19
09 May
Union Brescia U19
1 : 3
Sudtirol U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Como U19 30 18 7 5 58:31 61
2 Lecco U19 30 18 6 6 65:50 60
3 Modena U19 30 16 7 7 55:38 55
4 AlbinoLeffe U19 30 14 5 11 58:59 47
5 Reggiana U19 30 13 7 10 58:44 46
6 Pro Vercelli U19 30 14 4 12 44:46 46
7 Entella U19 30 10 13 7 47:38 43
8 Sampdoria U19 30 12 5 13 57:48 41
9 Vicenza U19 30 10 8 12 45:53 38
10 Sudtirol U19 30 9 10 11 36:37 37
11 Udinese U19 30 9 9 12 53:50 36
12 Cittadella U19 30 9 9 12 42:49 36
13 Renate U19 30 7 12 11 34:44 33
14 Union Brescia U19 30 9 3 18 31:46 30
15 Venezia U19 30 6 8 16 32:63 26
16 Padova U19 30 6 7 17 34:53 25
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Empoli U19 30 23 5 2 74:19 74
2 Perugia U19 30 16 7 7 47:27 55
3 Pescara U19 30 15 7 8 51:37 52
4 Avellino U19 30 13 12 5 54:36 51
5 Pisa U19 30 13 9 8 54:41 48
6 Spezia U19 30 15 3 12 55:43 48
7 Catanzaro U19 30 14 6 10 42:35 48
8 Benevento U19 30 13 5 12 42:50 44
9 Ternana U19 30 11 9 10 51:54 42
10 Monopoli U19 30 10 7 13 39:50 37
11 Bari U19 30 9 8 13 42:42 35
12 Ascoli U19 30 8 9 13 47:50 33
13 Palermo U19 30 5 12 13 35:43 27
14 Cosenza U19 30 6 9 15 32:62 27
15 Salernitana U19 30 6 6 18 28:62 24
16 Crotone U19 30 1 10 19 20:62 13
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)