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Padova U20 vs Cesena U20

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Primavera - Group B 2011/2012
Padova U20 Logo

Padova U20

2 - 0
FT
Cesena U20 Logo

Cesena U20

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primavera - Group B 2011/2012 game between Padova U20 and Cesena U20 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Padova U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Padova U20
30%
Draws
29%
Cesena U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Padova U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cesena U20 come out ahead of Padova U20 on wins alone.
  • Padova U20 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Padova U20 Clean Sheet 17%
Cesena U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Padova U20 Cesena U20
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 15
Draws 5 9
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.37 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2013 Primavera - Group B
Cesena U20 vs Padova U20
2:1
Sep 29, 2012 Primavera - Group B
Padova U20 vs Cesena U20
0:0
Mar 31, 2012 Primavera - Group B
Padova U20 vs Cesena U20
2:0
Nov 19, 2011 Primavera - Group B
Cesena U20 vs Padova U20
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Padova U20 39 / 100
Cesena U20 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Padova U20 Cesena U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Padova U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Padova U20's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Cesena U20 conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Padova U20 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cesena U20
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Padova U20

(Home)
20 Apr
Cittadella U20
1 : 2
Padova U20
13 Apr
Padova U20
2 : 3
Inter U20
06 Apr
Atalanta U20
1 : 1
Padova U20
28 Mar
Padova U20
2 : 1
Verona U20
23 Mar
Varese U20
2 : 1
Padova U20
Page 1 of 6

Cesena U20

(Away)
12 Sept
Cesena U20
0 : 1
Lazio U20
06 Sept
Empoli U20
3 : 3
Cesena U20
30 Aug
Cesena U20
1 : 1
AC Milan U20
24 Aug
Verona U20
0 : 1
Cesena U20
25 May
Parma U20
2 : 1
Cesena U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AC Milan U20 26 16 5 5 67:33 53
2 Inter U20 26 16 5 5 51:21 53
3 Varese U20 26 15 5 6 39:24 50
4 Chievo U20 26 12 11 3 43:22 47
5 Albinoleffe U20 26 13 8 5 46:31 47
6 Bologna U20 26 11 6 9 38:36 39
7 Padova U20 26 9 6 11 29:33 33
8 Udinese U20 26 9 3 14 39:54 30
9 Cittadella U20 26 8 6 12 40:57 30
10 Atalanta U20 26 8 5 13 38:40 29
11 Brescia U20 26 6 8 12 30:39 26
12 Cesena U20 26 6 6 14 24:39 24
13 Vicenza U20 26 6 5 15 39:61 23
14 Verona U20 26 6 3 17 24:57 21
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2011/2012 (Qualification)