Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Padova vs Carrarese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Euganeo, Padova
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Rubino T.
Assist: Parlanti G.
40'
Oliana F.
46'
Sub
Abiuso F. In: Marconi G.
Out: Abiuso F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Padova and Carrarese finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carrarese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Padova
20%
Draws
40%
Carrarese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Padova carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Padova Clean Sheet 20%
Carrarese Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Padova Carrarese
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.07 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2026 Serie B
Padova vs Carrarese
0:2
Feb 10, 2026 Serie B
Padova vs Carrarese
1:0
Aug 31, 2025 Serie B
Carrarese vs Padova
0:0
Nov 23, 2016 Coppa Italia Serie C
Carrarese vs Padova
0:1
Jan 19, 2003 Lega Pro C1/A
Padova vs Carrarese
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Padova Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Carrarese Compare

Top Goalscorer Rubino T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rouhi J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Padova 36 / 100
Carrarese 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Padova Carrarese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carrarese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Padova scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Carrarese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Away concern: Carrarese has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Padova VS Carrarese
1.25 Goals Scored 0.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Padova

(Home)
11 Oct
Padova
0 : 2
Carrarese
19 Sept
Palermo
2 : 1
Padova
12 Sept
Padova
1 : 0
Ascoli
06 Sept
Cremonese
3 : 1
Padova
29 Aug
Padova
1 : 1
Verona
Page 1 of 6

Carrarese

(Away)
11 Oct
Padova
0 : 2
Carrarese
19 Sept
Carrarese
0 : 1
Benevento
12 Sept
Catanzaro
1 : 0
Carrarese
05 Sept
Carrarese
0 : 1
Empoli
29 Aug
Ascoli
1 : 1
Carrarese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 6 5 1 0 14:7 16
2 Mantova 6 4 2 0 13:6 14
3 Modena 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
4 Sudtirol 6 3 3 0 9:3 12
5 Ascoli 6 3 2 1 7:4 11
6 Avellino 6 3 1 2 11:7 10
7 Pisa 6 3 1 2 11:8 10
8 Benevento 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
9 Verona 6 2 1 3 12:10 7
10 Padova 6 2 1 3 5:8 7
11 Cesena 6 1 4 1 7:8 7
12 Arezzo 6 2 1 3 6:13 7
13 Empoli 6 2 0 4 6:10 6
14 Entella 6 1 3 2 8:7 6
15 Cremonese 6 1 3 2 5:7 6
16 Vicenza 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
17 Carrarese 6 1 1 4 4:6 4
18 Sampdoria 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
19 Catanzaro 6 1 0 5 6:12 3
20 Juve Stabia 6 1 3 2 5:8 2
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)