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Padova vs Entella - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Euganeo, Padova
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Padova host Entella in the Serie B. Little to choose between these two on current form. Padova have averaged 1.07 scored and 1.59 conceded recently, against Entella's 1.07 scored and 1.31 conceded. Head-to-head, Padova have won 3 to Entella's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.38 - 1.31) back Padova to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Padova
35%
Draws
39%
Entella
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Entella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Entella haven't matched Padova's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Entella a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Padova Clean Sheet 18%
Entella Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Padova Entella
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.07 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Serie B
Entella vs Padova
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 Serie B
Padova vs Entella
2:1
May 17, 2025 Super Cup (Serie C)
Padova vs Entella
0:1
Nov 3, 2021 Coppa Italia Serie C
Padova vs Entella
2:1
Aug 11, 2013 Coppa Italia
Padova vs Entella
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Padova 23 / 100
Entella 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Padova Entella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Entella Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Entella has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Attacking prowess: Padova scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Padova remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Padova VS Entella
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Padova

(Home)
11 Oct
Padova
0 : 2
Carrarese
19 Sept
Palermo
2 : 1
Padova
12 Sept
Padova
1 : 0
Ascoli
06 Sept
Cremonese
3 : 1
Padova
29 Aug
Padova
1 : 1
Verona
Page 1 of 6

Entella

(Away)
10 Oct
Entella
1 : 1
Juve Stabia
19 Sept
Cremonese
0 : 0
Entella
11 Sept
Pisa
1 : 4
Entella
06 Sept
Entella
2 : 2
Vicenza
29 Aug
Entella
1 : 2
Cesena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 6 5 1 0 14:7 16
2 Mantova 6 4 2 0 13:6 14
3 Modena 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
4 Sudtirol 6 3 3 0 9:3 12
5 Ascoli 6 3 2 1 7:4 11
6 Avellino 6 3 1 2 11:7 10
7 Pisa 6 3 1 2 11:8 10
8 Benevento 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
9 Verona 6 2 1 3 12:10 7
10 Padova 6 2 1 3 5:8 7
11 Cesena 6 1 4 1 7:8 7
12 Arezzo 6 2 1 3 6:13 7
13 Empoli 6 2 0 4 6:10 6
14 Entella 6 1 3 2 8:7 6
15 Cremonese 6 1 3 2 5:7 6
16 Vicenza 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
17 Carrarese 6 1 1 4 4:6 4
18 Sampdoria 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
19 Catanzaro 6 1 0 5 6:12 3
20 Juve Stabia 6 1 3 2 5:8 2
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)