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Padroense vs AD Limianos

Portugal Portugal

Second Division - Zona Norte
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Padroense in this Second Division - Zona Norte matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Padroense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Padroense
20%
Draws
61%
AD Limianos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AD Limianos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • AD Limianos have won more games recently than Padroense.
  • Model gives AD Limianos a 61% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Padroense Clean Sheet 19%
AD Limianos Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Padroense AD Limianos
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 5 16
Draws 5 11
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 0.77 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2013 Second Division - Zona Norte
Padroense vs AD Limianos
4:0
Dec 16, 2012 Second Division - Zona Norte
AD Limianos vs Padroense
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Padroense 10 / 100
AD Limianos 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Padroense AD Limianos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Limianos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Limianos has conceded goals in 69% of their last 36 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Padroense scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Padroense went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS AD Limianos
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Padroense

(Home)
28 Apr
Padroense
1 : 2
Tirsense
21 Apr
Infesta
2 : 1
Padroense
14 Apr
Padroense
2 : 2
AD Fafe
07 Apr
Ribeirao
3 : 0
Padroense
30 Mar
Padroense
4 : 0
AD Limianos
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AD Limianos

(Away)
20 Sept
AD Limianos
3 : 0
Aljustrelense
06 Sept
Ponte da Barca
2 : 3
AD Limianos
30 Aug
Correlha
1 : 4
AD Limianos
23 Aug
Vila Mea
1 : 1
AD Limianos
16 Aug
AD Limianos
3 : 1
Chaves B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chaves 30 16 10 4 43:21 58
2 Ribeirao 30 15 10 5 43:24 55
3 SC Mirandela 30 15 8 7 41:29 53
4 Vizela 30 14 9 7 41:29 51
5 AD Limianos 30 12 9 9 33:30 45
6 Tirsense 30 11 12 7 35:32 45
7 Famalicao 30 11 10 9 42:35 43
8 Varzim 30 8 16 6 31:26 40
9 AD Fafe 30 10 10 10 37:33 40
10 Boavista 30 9 11 10 44:40 38
11 Amarante FC 30 7 12 11 30:33 33
12 Gondomar 30 7 12 11 25:27 33
13 Vilaverdense FC 30 7 12 11 22:36 33
14 GD Joane 30 7 7 16 27:48 28
15 Infesta 30 7 4 19 30:51 25
16 Padroense 30 5 6 19 23:53 21
Promotion - Second Division - Zona Centro (Play Offs)