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Padroense vs Amarante FC

Portugal Portugal

Second Division - Zona Norte
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Amarante FC in this Second Division - Zona Norte matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Amarante FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Padroense
30%
Draws
47%
Amarante FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Amarante FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Amarante FC have won more games recently than Padroense.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Amarante FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Padroense Clean Sheet 18%
Amarante FC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Padroense Amarante FC
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 5 19
Draws 5 9
Losses 20 6
Goals Scored 0.77 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.83 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2013 Second Division - Zona Norte
Padroense vs Amarante FC
0:2
Sep 23, 2012 Second Division - Zona Norte
Amarante FC vs Padroense
4:0
Apr 15, 2012 Second Division - Zona Centro
Amarante FC vs Padroense
1:1
Dec 18, 2011 Second Division - Zona Centro
Padroense vs Amarante FC
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Padroense 28 / 100
Amarante FC 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Padroense Amarante FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amarante FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Padroense scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Amarante FC has conceded goals in 59% of their last 34 outings.

Padroense has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Amarante FC
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Padroense

(Home)
28 Apr
Padroense
1 : 2
Tirsense
21 Apr
Infesta
2 : 1
Padroense
14 Apr
Padroense
2 : 2
AD Fafe
07 Apr
Ribeirao
3 : 0
Padroense
30 Mar
Padroense
4 : 0
AD Limianos
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Amarante FC

(Away)
20 Sept
Ponte da Barca
0 : 2
Amarante FC
13 Sept
Amarante FC
2 : 2
Leiria
06 Sept
Leixoes
3 : 1
Amarante FC
30 Aug
Amarante FC
1 : 0
Benfica B
22 Aug
Vizela
0 : 0
Amarante FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chaves 30 16 10 4 43:21 58
2 Ribeirao 30 15 10 5 43:24 55
3 SC Mirandela 30 15 8 7 41:29 53
4 Vizela 30 14 9 7 41:29 51
5 AD Limianos 30 12 9 9 33:30 45
6 Tirsense 30 11 12 7 35:32 45
7 Famalicao 30 11 10 9 42:35 43
8 Varzim 30 8 16 6 31:26 40
9 AD Fafe 30 10 10 10 37:33 40
10 Boavista 30 9 11 10 44:40 38
11 Amarante FC 30 7 12 11 30:33 33
12 Gondomar 30 7 12 11 25:27 33
13 Vilaverdense FC 30 7 12 11 22:36 33
14 GD Joane 30 7 7 16 27:48 28
15 Infesta 30 7 4 19 30:51 25
16 Padroense 30 5 6 19 23:53 21
Promotion - Second Division - Zona Centro (Play Offs)