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Paduano EC vs 7 de Abril - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paduano EC host 7 de Abril in the Carioca B2. Form suggests where the edge lies here. 7 de Abril have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Paduano EC have conceded 1 and scored 1.03. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.50 - 1.63) back Paduano EC to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Paduano EC
20%
Draws
42%
7 de Abril
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: 7 de Abril

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • 7 de Abril haven't matched Paduano EC's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Paduano EC Clean Sheet 14%
7 de Abril Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paduano EC 7 de Abril
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 12 7
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.03 1.27
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paduano EC 30 / 100
7 de Abril 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paduano EC 7 de Abril

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paduano EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: 7 de Abril conceded in 81% of 26 recent games.

Paduano EC's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Paduano EC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

7 de Abril lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paduano EC VS 7 de Abril
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Paduano EC

(Home)
06 Oct
Friburguense
1 : 0
Paduano EC
01 Oct
Paduano EC
1 : 1
Campos AA
27 Sept
Paraty
0 : 3
Paduano EC
20 Sept
Paduano EC
2 : 2
Barra Mansa
13 Sept
Serra Macaense
1 : 2
Paduano EC
Page 1 of 6

7 de Abril

(Away)
06 Oct
7 de Abril
0 : 2
Belford Roxo
02 Oct
7 de Abril
1 : 2
Friburguense
27 Sept
Campos AA
1 : 2
7 de Abril
21 Sept
7 de Abril
1 : 0
Paraty
14 Sept
Barra Mansa
1 : 4
7 de Abril
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Friburguense 7 5 2 0 12:4 17
2 Serra Macaense 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
3 Cardoso Moreira 7 4 1 2 9:5 13
4 Belford Roxo 7 3 3 1 14:6 12
5 Santa Cruz RJ 7 4 0 3 9:8 12
6 Paduano EC 7 3 2 2 9:6 11
7 FC Rio de Janeiro 7 3 1 3 11:7 10
8 7 de Abril 7 3 1 3 10:10 10
9 Campos AA 7 2 3 2 11:11 9
10 Barra Mansa 7 1 4 2 6:10 7
11 Buzios 7 1 0 6 5:18 3
12 Paraty 7 0 0 7 4:21 0
Promotion - Carioca B2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C 2027 (Main)