Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024

Anaitasuna FT

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Padura play Anaitasuna FT in the Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Padura averaged 0.91 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. Anaitasuna FT averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, Padura won 2, Anaitasuna FT won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 16, 2024 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Padura and 1.25 for Anaitasuna FT. This points to a Padura double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Padura

21%

Draws

39%

Anaitasuna FT

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Padura

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Padura picked up more points recently compared to Anaitasuna FT.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 44%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%

Padura Clean Sheet 19%

Anaitasuna FT Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Padura	Anaitasuna FT
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	7	8
Draws	7	5
Losses	18	17
Goals Scored	0.91	1.03
Goals Conceded	1.41	1.53

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Anaitasuna FT vs Padura

Possession: 52% - 43% Cards: 4 - 2

2:0

Oct 28, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Padura vs Anaitasuna FT

Possession: 54% - 50% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Feb 11, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Padura vs Anaitasuna FT

Possession: 57% - 43% Cards: 4 - 4

2:1

Oct 8, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Anaitasuna FT vs Padura

Possession: 50% - 51% Cards: 2 - 3

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Padura Compare

Top Goalscorer Pradera M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Anaitasuna FT Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Padura 40 / 100

Anaitasuna FT 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Padura Anaitasuna FT

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Padura or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +25.2%

3.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.7%

2.63

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Padura attacking → ← attacking Anaitasuna FT

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Padura scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Anaitasuna FT let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Padura went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Anaitasuna FT lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 29

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CD Vitoria	34	25	7	2	65:17	82
2	Basconia	34	18	10	6	54:32	64
3	Beasain	34	19	6	9	55:36	63
4	SD Deusto	34	17	10	7	45:29	61
5	Portugalete	34	17	9	8	54:32	60
6	Lagun Onak	34	16	9	9	43:33	57
7	SCD Durango	34	14	8	12	47:47	50
8	San Ignacio	34	12	11	11	49:44	47
9	Leioa	34	13	6	15	46:51	45
10	Urduliz FT	34	11	9	14	38:47	42
11	Derio	34	11	9	14	35:35	42
12	Alaves C	34	10	10	14	34:42	40
13	Touring KE	34	9	12	13	39:49	39
14	Padura	34	9	11	14	33:47	38
15	Pasaia	34	9	7	18	23:42	34
16	Anaitasuna FT	34	8	8	18	35:51	32
17	Aurrera Ondarroa	34	5	9	20	26:54	24
18	Anorga	34	3	9	22	31:64	18