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Padura vs Eibar C

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Cordoba Esteban P.
69' Event
Barandiaran M. A.
(Penalty)
78' Event
Telletxea E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Padura
20%
Draws
47%
Eibar C
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Eibar C

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Eibar C have won more games recently than Padura.
  • Eibar C are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Padura Clean Sheet 19%
Eibar C Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Padura Eibar C
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 0.93 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Eibar C vs Padura
1:2
Nov 30, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Padura vs Eibar C
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Padura Compare

Top Goalscorer Cordoba Esteban P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Telletxea E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Eibar C Compare

Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Padura 16 / 100
Eibar C 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Padura Eibar C

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eibar C Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Eibar C conceded in 84% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Padura's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Padura remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Eibar C
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Padura

(Home)
11 May
Padura
3 : 0
San Viator
03 May
Derio
2 : 1
Padura
30 Apr
Eibar C
1 : 2
Padura
26 Apr
Portugalete
3 : 1
Padura
17 Apr
Padura
1 : 1
Santurtzi
Page 1 of 6

Eibar C

(Away)
14 Aug
Eibar C
3 : 1
Santurtzi
09 May
Eibar C
3 : 0
Pasaia
03 May
Lagun Onak
1 : 1
Eibar C
26 Apr
Eibar C
5 : 0
SD Deusto
17 Apr
Portugalete
4 : 2
Eibar C
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Basconia 34 23 7 4 89:32 76
2 Portugalete 34 19 13 2 66:29 70
3 Leioa 34 20 6 8 55:34 66
4 Beasain 34 19 7 8 53:34 64
5 SD Deusto 34 15 9 10 43:35 54
6 Alaves C 34 14 6 14 41:41 48
7 Touring KE 34 13 9 12 39:45 48
8 Derio 34 12 11 11 39:39 47
9 Eibar C 34 12 10 12 46:51 46
10 UD Aretxabaleta 34 12 8 14 40:45 44
11 Lagun Onak 34 11 9 14 44:49 42
12 San Ignacio 34 11 9 14 32:41 42
13 SCD Durango 34 9 13 12 43:37 40
14 Pasaia 34 10 9 15 45:60 39
15 Santurtzi 34 8 14 12 46:43 38
16 Urduliz FT 34 9 9 16 37:56 36
17 Padura 34 7 8 19 31:48 29
18 San Viator 34 1 5 28 21:91 8
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025 (Play Offs)