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PAE Egaleo vs Ellas Syrou

Greece Greece

Super League 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Sapovalov A.
55' Event
Sapovalov A.
89' Event
Gordeziani V.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2 2025/2026 game between PAE Egaleo and Ellas Syrou finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PAE Egaleo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
PAE Egaleo
20%
Draws
40%
Ellas Syrou
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • PAE Egaleo haven't matched Ellas Syrou's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
PAE Egaleo Clean Sheet 23%
Ellas Syrou Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PAE Egaleo Ellas Syrou
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 10 14
Draws 6 9
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.9 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Super League 2
PAE Egaleo vs Ellas Syrou
2:1
Feb 21, 2026 Super League 2
Ellas Syrou vs PAE Egaleo
3:0
Jan 10, 2026 Super League 2
PAE Egaleo vs Ellas Syrou
0:2
Oct 25, 2025 Super League 2
Ellas Syrou vs PAE Egaleo
0:0
Sep 24, 2025 Greek Cup
Ellas Syrou vs PAE Egaleo
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PAE Egaleo Compare

Top Goalscorer Sapovalov A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Ellas Syrou Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PAE Egaleo 37 / 100
Ellas Syrou 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PAE Egaleo Ellas Syrou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ellas Syrou Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ellas Syrou's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

PAE Egaleo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

PAE Egaleo scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

PAE Egaleo VS Ellas Syrou
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

PAE Egaleo

(Home)
25 Apr
Ilioupoli
1 : 3
PAE Egaleo
19 Apr
Panargiakos
3 : 2
PAE Egaleo
04 Apr
PAE Egaleo
1 : 0
PAE Chania (Kissamikos)
29 Mar
PAE Egaleo
2 : 1
Ellas Syrou
21 Mar
Athens Kallithea
1 : 1
PAE Egaleo
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Ellas Syrou

(Away)
19 Sept
Zakynthos
1 : 4
Ellas Syrou
13 Sept
Ellas Syrou
3 : 0
Karditsa
07 Sept
Ellas Syrou
2 : 2
Apollon Kalamaria
24 Aug
Ellas Syrou
1 : 2
Marko
25 Apr
Panargiakos
0 : 1
Ellas Syrou
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