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PAE Egaleo vs Kalamata - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Super League 2 2025/2026
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Match Events

23' Event
Stroungis S.
77' Event
Mantzis V.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2 2025/2026 game between PAE Egaleo and Kalamata finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kalamata.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
PAE Egaleo
30%
Draws
23%
Kalamata
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: PAE Egaleo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Kalamata carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on PAE Egaleo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Kalamata have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
PAE Egaleo Clean Sheet 20%
Kalamata Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PAE Egaleo Kalamata
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 19
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.07 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 13, 2025 Super League 2
PAE Egaleo vs Kalamata
0:2
Oct 11, 2025 Super League 2
Kalamata vs PAE Egaleo
1:1
May 4, 2025 Super League 2
Kalamata vs PAE Egaleo
4:1
Mar 22, 2025 Super League 2
PAE Egaleo vs Kalamata
0:1
Dec 8, 2024 Super League 2
Kalamata vs PAE Egaleo
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PAE Egaleo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Kalamata Compare

Top Goalscorer Stroungis S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mantzis V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PAE Egaleo 67 / 100
Kalamata 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PAE Egaleo Kalamata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAE Egaleo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: PAE Egaleo scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: PAE Egaleo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Kalamata let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

PAE Egaleo VS Kalamata
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

PAE Egaleo

(Home)
04 Oct
Ialysos
0 : 1
PAE Egaleo
27 Sept
PAE Egaleo
4 : 1
Apollon Kalythion
25 Apr
Ilioupoli
1 : 3
PAE Egaleo
19 Apr
Panargiakos
3 : 2
PAE Egaleo
04 Apr
PAE Egaleo
1 : 0
PAE Chania (Kissamikos)
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Kalamata

(Away)
20 Sept
Kalamata
0 : 1
Panathinaikos
17 Sept
Kalamata
1 : 1
AEL Larissa
13 Sept
Kalamata
3 : 1
Volos
06 Sept
Atromitos
1 : 1
Kalamata
01 Sept
Volos
2 : 2
Kalamata
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraklis FC 18 13 5 0 34:13 44
2 Niki Volos 18 11 6 1 41:10 39
3 Karditsa 18 12 3 3 25:10 39
4 Asteras Tripolis B 18 9 5 4 25:17 32
5 PAOK B 18 7 3 8 25:23 24
6 Kavala 18 6 5 7 16:22 23
7 Chrisoupolis 18 5 3 10 13:21 18
8 Kampaniakos 18 4 3 11 12:32 15
9 Giannina 18 2 4 12 10:24 10
10 Makedonikos Neapolis 18 1 3 14 8:37 6
Promotion - Super League 2 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Super League 2 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kalamata 18 16 2 0 44:10 50
2 Panionios 18 13 4 1 28:8 43
3 Marko 18 9 4 5 21:13 31
4 Olympiacos Piraeus B 18 8 3 7 23:26 27
5 Athens Kallithea 18 7 5 6 21:17 26
6 Ellas Syrou 18 6 6 6 25:18 24
7 PAE Egaleo 18 4 5 9 14:22 17
8 Ilioupoli 18 4 3 11 14:29 15
9 PAE Chania (Kissamikos) 18 3 3 12 11:28 12
10 Panargiakos 18 0 5 13 8:38 5
Promotion - Super League 2 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Super League 2 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)