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Match Events
AI Match Summary
AEK Larnaca in this Super Cup 2025 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Pafos at 1.77 per game, AEK Larnaca at 1.39.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor AEK Larnaca, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pafos | AEK Larnaca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.77 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pafos Compare
AEK Larnaca Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Pafos's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: AEK Larnaca conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.
Away concern: AEK Larnaca has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.