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Paganese vs Ossese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G Stadio Marcello Torre, Pagani
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paganese host Ossese in the Serie D - Group G. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Ossese have shipped 1.22 goals a game lately, while Paganese have conceded 1.24 and scored 1.41. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.69 - 1.38) back Paganese to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Paganese
20%
Draws
50%
Ossese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ossese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Paganese come out ahead of Ossese on wins alone.
  • Paganese are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Paganese Clean Sheet 17%
Ossese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paganese Ossese
Matches Played 29 9
Wins 13 3
Draws 5 3
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.41 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paganese 41 / 100
Ossese 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paganese Ossese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Paganese scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Ossese conceded in 67% of 9 recent games.

Recent resilience: Paganese stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Ossese lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paganese VS Ossese
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Paganese

(Home)
18 Oct
US Venafro
1 : 0
Paganese
11 Oct
Paganese
3 : 0
Budoni Calcio
07 Oct
Paganese
1 : 2
Real Normanna
04 Oct
Sarnese
2 : 1
Paganese
27 Sept
Paganese
2 : 3
Gelbison
Page 1 of 6

Ossese

(Away)
18 Oct
Gelbison
2 : 1
Ossese
11 Oct
Ossese
1 : 1
US Venafro
04 Oct
Afragolese
0 : 2
Ossese
27 Sept
Ossese
2 : 2
Sarnese
20 Sept
Unipomezia
2 : 0
Ossese
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sarnese 8 6 2 0 13:6 20
2 Monastir 8 5 1 2 21:13 16
3 Certosa V. Campagnano 8 5 1 2 13:6 16
4 Trastevere Calcio 8 4 2 2 11:14 14
5 Paganese 8 4 1 3 17:10 13
6 Unipomezia 8 3 3 2 14:10 12
7 Ossese 8 3 3 2 11:8 12
8 Albalonga 8 3 3 2 13:11 12
9 Aranova 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
10 Anzio Calcio 1924 8 3 3 2 8:6 12
11 Afragolese 8 2 4 2 9:7 10
12 Citta di Anagni 8 3 1 4 10:12 10
13 Gelbison 8 3 1 4 10:13 10
14 US Venafro 8 2 2 4 6:11 8
15 Budoni Calcio 8 2 1 5 12:20 7
16 Sarrabus Ogliastra 8 1 3 4 7:11 6
17 Latte Dolce 8 1 3 4 9:14 6
18 Atl. Lodigiani 8 0 1 7 8:22 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group G (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G (Play Out)