Sport Picks
Paganese vs Real Normanna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Coppa Italia Serie D Stadio Marcello Torre, Pagani 
Match Events
65'
65'
Faiello G.
78'
78'
Favetta C.
1'
1'
Akammadu F.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Normanna
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
26%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Paganese lately — more wins on the board than Real Normanna.
- Model gives Paganese a 26% chance of winning this.
- Paganese have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Real Normanna, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Paganese Clean Sheet 12%
Real Normanna Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Paganese | Real Normanna |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 7, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie D
Paganese vs Real Normanna
1:2
Apr 2, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Real Normanna vs Paganese
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Paganese vs Real Normanna
1:0
Apr 18, 2015 Serie C - Group C
Paganese vs Real Normanna
0:1
Dec 7, 2014 Serie C - Group C
Real Normanna vs Paganese
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Paganese Compare
Top Goalscorer Faiello G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Real Normanna Compare
Top Goalscorer Favetta C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Paganese 47 / 100
Real Normanna 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Paganese Real Normanna
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Paganese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Paganese scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Real Normanna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Solid form: Paganese remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Paganese VS Real Normanna
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Paganese
(Home) 07 Oct
Paganese
1 : 2 Real Normanna
04 Oct
Sarnese
2 : 1 Paganese
27 Sept
Paganese
2 : 3 Gelbison
20 Sept
Trastevere Calcio
1 : 6 Paganese
16 Sept
Paganese
0 : 0 Afragolese
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Paganese
1 : 2 Real Normanna
27 Sept
Paganese
2 : 3 Gelbison
16 Sept
Paganese
0 : 0 Afragolese
06 Sept
Paganese
2 : 1 Unipomezia
26 Apr
Paganese
5 : 0 SS Nola 1925
Page 1 of 3
Real Normanna
(Away) 07 Oct
Paganese
1 : 2 Real Normanna
04 Oct
Brindisi
3 : 0 Real Normanna
27 Sept
Real Normanna
1 : 0 Gravina
20 Sept
Palmese 1914
3 : 4 Real Normanna
16 Sept
Real Normanna
1 : 2 Martina Calcio
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Paganese
1 : 2 Real Normanna
04 Oct
Brindisi
3 : 0 Real Normanna
20 Sept
Palmese 1914
3 : 4 Real Normanna
12 Sept
Ischia
2 : 2 Real Normanna
03 May
Gravina
3 : 2 Real Normanna
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
AS Biellese 3
Alessandria 2
Valenzana 3
Saluzzo 2
Villa Valle 2
Tritium 1
Brusaporto 2
Chievo 1
Real Calepina 0
AC Leon 2
Varese FC 2
Pro Patria 5
Pavia 1
Sant'Angelo 3
Sanremese 5
Millesimo 2
Cjarlins Muzane 2
Brian Lignano 1
Este 0
Caldiero Terme 2
Mestre 0
Schio 2
Clodiense 2
Campodarsego 1
Lentigione 1
Piacenza 3
Sasso Marconi 1
Cittadella Vis Modena 0
Sestri Levante 1
Pistoiese 0
Seravezza Pozzi 1
Lucchese 2
Terranuova Traiana 0
Prato 3
Ternana -
Recanatese -
Ancona 2
Fossombrone 1
Flaminia 0
Siena 3
Unipomezia 3
Teramo 4
Latte Dolce 3
Sarrabus Ogliastra 0
Aquila Calcio 5
Termoli 2
Paganese 1
Real Normanna 2
Certosa V. Campagnano 4
Albalonga 1
Nocerina 1
Turris 2
Fidelis Andria 2
Bisceglie 1
Virtus Francavilla 3
Gravina 0
Lamezia 2
Gelbison 3
Igea Virtus 3
Reggina 2
Calcio Avola 0
ASD Modica Calcio 4
Trapani 1
Licata 2
1/16-finals
AS Biellese -
Valenzana -
Villa Valle -
Brusaporto -
AC Leon -
Pro Patria -
Sant'Angelo -
Sanremese -
Cjarlins Muzane -
Caldiero Terme -
Schio -
Clodiense -
Piacenza -
Sasso Marconi -
Sestri Levante -
Lucchese -
Prato -
TBD -
Ancona -
Siena -
Teramo -
Latte Dolce -
Aquila Calcio -
Real Normanna -
Certosa V. Campagnano -
Turris -
Fidelis Andria -
Virtus Francavilla -
Gelbison -
Igea Virtus -
ASD Modica Calcio -
Licata -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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