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Paganese vs Unipomezia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G Stadio Marcello Torre, Pagani
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Pierdomenico A.
45' Event
Akammadu F.
90' Event
Adrian O.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G game between Paganese and Unipomezia finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paganese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Paganese
20%
Draws
57%
Unipomezia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Unipomezia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Paganese come out ahead of Unipomezia on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Paganese Clean Sheet 11%
Unipomezia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paganese Unipomezia
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 6 10
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.33 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Paganese vs Unipomezia
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paganese Compare

Top Goalscorer Pierdomenico A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Akammadu F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Unipomezia Compare

Top Goalscorer Adrian O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paganese 30 / 100
Unipomezia 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paganese Unipomezia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Unipomezia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paganese scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Unipomezia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Paganese remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Paganese VS Unipomezia
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Paganese

(Home)
07 Oct
Paganese
1 : 2
Real Normanna
04 Oct
Sarnese
2 : 1
Paganese
27 Sept
Paganese
2 : 3
Gelbison
20 Sept
Trastevere Calcio
1 : 6
Paganese
16 Sept
Paganese
0 : 0
Afragolese
Page 1 of 6

Unipomezia

(Away)
07 Oct
Unipomezia
3 : 4
Teramo
04 Oct
Unipomezia
3 : 1
Atl. Lodigiani
27 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2 : 2
Unipomezia
20 Sept
Unipomezia
2 : 0
Ossese
16 Sept
Citta di Anagni
0 : 2
Unipomezia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sarnese 6 4 2 0 11:6 14
2 Monastir 6 4 1 1 17:9 13
3 Certosa V. Campagnano 6 4 0 2 10:4 12
4 Unipomezia 6 3 2 1 11:6 11
5 Ossese 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
6 Trastevere Calcio 6 3 2 1 8:10 11
7 Paganese 6 3 1 2 14:9 10
8 Anzio Calcio 1924 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
9 Albalonga 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
10 Gelbison 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
11 Budoni Calcio 6 2 1 3 10:13 7
12 Citta di Anagni 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
13 Aranova 6 1 3 2 6:7 6
14 Afragolese 6 1 3 2 5:7 6
15 Sarrabus Ogliastra 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
16 Latte Dolce 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
17 US Venafro 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
18 Atl. Lodigiani 6 0 1 5 8:17 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group G (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G (Play Out)