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Pago Youth vs Lotohaapai

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Samuelu P.
53' Event
Falepapalangi T.
66' Event
Falepapalangi T.

AI Match Summary

The OFC Champions League 2019 game between Pago Youth and Lotohaapai finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lotohaapai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Pago Youth
44%
Draws
20%
Lotohaapai
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Pago Youth haven't matched Lotohaapai's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Lotohaapai have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Pago Youth Clean Sheet 10%
Lotohaapai Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pago Youth Lotohaapai
Matches Played 14 21
Wins 0 5
Draws 3 2
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 5.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2019 OFC Champions League
Pago Youth vs Lotohaapai
1:5
Oct 19, 2013 OFC Champions League
Pago Youth vs Lotohaapai
0:0
May 3, 2012 OFC Champions League
Lotohaapai vs Pago Youth
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pago Youth Compare

Top Goalscorer Samuelu P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Lotohaapai Compare

Top Goalscorer Falepapalangi T.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Polovili H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pago Youth 34 / 100
Lotohaapai 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pago Youth Lotohaapai

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lotohaapai has conceded goals in 95% of their last 21 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Pago Youth scored in 71% of their last 14 outings.

Lotohaapai's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pago Youth VS Lotohaapai
1 Goals Scored 1.63
5.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tupapa330010:39
2Kiwi320114:86
3Lotohaapai31027:143
4Pago Youth30035:110