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Paide Linnameeskond vs Parnu JK Vaprus

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Paide linnastaadion, Paide
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Badamosi A.
Assist: Tur E.
24' Event
Limberg M.
Assist: Pajo T.
43' Event
Luts D.

AI Match Summary

Paide Linnameeskond in this Meistriliiga matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paide Linnameeskond.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Paide Linnameeskond
22%
Draws
18%
Parnu JK Vaprus
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Paide Linnameeskond

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Paide Linnameeskond lately — more wins on the board than Parnu JK Vaprus.
  • Model gives Paide Linnameeskond a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Meistriliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Paide Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 16%
Parnu JK Vaprus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paide Linnameeskond Parnu JK Vaprus
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 12
Draws 7 3
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Meistriliiga
Paide Linnameeskond vs Parnu JK Vaprus
3:1
May 6, 2026 Estonian Cup
Paide Linnameeskond vs Parnu JK Vaprus
2:0
Mar 7, 2026 Meistriliiga
Parnu JK Vaprus vs Paide Linnameeskond
3:2
Nov 2, 2025 Meistriliiga
Paide Linnameeskond vs Parnu JK Vaprus
3:0
Aug 30, 2025 Meistriliiga
Parnu JK Vaprus vs Paide Linnameeskond
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paide Linnameeskond Compare

Top Goalscorer Badamosi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luts D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Parnu JK Vaprus Compare

Top Goalscorer Limberg M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paide Linnameeskond 57 / 100
Parnu JK Vaprus 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paide Linnameeskond Parnu JK Vaprus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paide Linnameeskond's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Parnu JK Vaprus conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Paide Linnameeskond stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paide Linnameeskond VS Parnu JK Vaprus
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Paide Linnameeskond

(Home)
23 Jul
Paide Linnameeskond
1 : 0
Zira FK
19 Jul
Harju JK Laagri
5 : 2
Paide Linnameeskond
16 Jul
Paide Linnameeskond
3 : 0
FC Hegelmann
09 Jul
FC Hegelmann
1 : 1
Paide Linnameeskond
04 Jul
Paide Linnameeskond
3 : 1
Parnu JK Vaprus
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Parnu JK Vaprus

(Away)
21 Jul
Tabasalu Ulasabat
1 : 4
Parnu JK Vaprus
18 Jul
Narva
3 : 1
Parnu JK Vaprus
11 Jul
Parnu JK Vaprus
5 : 1
Tammeka Tartu
04 Jul
Paide Linnameeskond
3 : 1
Parnu JK Vaprus
26 Jun
Parnu JK Vaprus
1 : 0
Kuressaare
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Levadia19144149:1646
2Flora19120739:2136
3Kalju20105533:1635
4Paide Linnameeskond2095632:2832
5Parnu JK Vaprus20821028:3826
6Tammeka Tartu1882821:2626
7Nomme Utd20811139:4625
8Harju JK Laagri20811130:3425
9Kuressaare20531219:3318
10Narva20411515:4713
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)