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Paide Linnameeskond U21 vs Legion

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2025 Paide linnastaadion
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AI Match Summary

Paide Linnameeskond U21 play Legion in the Esiliiga B 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Paide Linnameeskond U21 averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. Legion averaged 1.25 goals scored and 3.59 conceded. In past meetings, Paide Linnameeskond U21 won 2, Legion won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 27, 2025 ended 7:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.85 for Paide Linnameeskond U21 and 0.94 for Legion. This points to a Paide Linnameeskond U21 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Paide Linnameeskond U21
17%
Draws
28%
Legion
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Paide Linnameeskond U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Paide Linnameeskond U21 picked up more points recently compared to Legion.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.85 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Paide Linnameeskond U21 Clean Sheet 24%
Legion Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paide Linnameeskond U21 Legion
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 6
Draws 8 2
Losses 13 24
Goals Scored 1.8 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.67 3.59
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2025 Esiliiga B
Paide Linnameeskond U21 vs Legion
7:2
Aug 10, 2025 Esiliiga B
Legion vs Paide Linnameeskond U21
3:2
Jun 19, 2025 Esiliiga B
Legion vs Paide Linnameeskond U21
2:2
Mar 8, 2025 Esiliiga B
Paide Linnameeskond U21 vs Legion
2:4
Oct 7, 2023 Esiliiga
Legion vs Paide Linnameeskond U21
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paide Linnameeskond U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lehtmaa H.
5 Goals
Assists Leader Nigula R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Legion Compare

Top Goalscorer Jakovenko A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vassiljev A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paide Linnameeskond U21 54 / 100
Legion 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paide Linnameeskond U21 Legion

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paide Linnameeskond U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Paide Linnameeskond U21 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.43
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Paide Linnameeskond U21 attacking → ← attacking Legion

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paide Linnameeskond U21 scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Legion let in goals in 97% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Paide Linnameeskond U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Legion lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 20
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Maardu Linnameeskond362853116:3989
2Nomme Utd U21362331093:5372
3Johvi Phoenix362151095:6168
4Narva U21362131287:5366
5Tartu Kalev361941381:5361
6Tabasalu361381560:6747
7Legion361351866:9444
8Paide Linnameeskond U21361181765:7141
9Kuressaare U2136612940:10519
10Laanemaa Haapsalu36323133:14011