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Paide Linnameeskond U21 vs Tartu Kalev

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2025 Paide linnastaadion
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Match Events

44' Event
Juhanson R.
46'
Sub
Pitsner A. In: Reinkort S.
Out: Pitsner A.
51' Event
Reinkort S.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B 2025 game between Paide Linnameeskond U21 and Tartu Kalev finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Paide Linnameeskond U21
39%
Draws
30%
Tartu Kalev
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Paide Linnameeskond U21 haven't matched Tartu Kalev's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Esiliiga B 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Tartu Kalev have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Paide Linnameeskond U21 Clean Sheet 16%
Tartu Kalev Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paide Linnameeskond U21 Tartu Kalev
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 9 17
Draws 8 4
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 0 1.88
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2025 Esiliiga B
Paide Linnameeskond U21 vs Tartu Kalev
1:1
Jul 19, 2025 Esiliiga B
Tartu Kalev vs Paide Linnameeskond U21
1:0
Jun 1, 2025 Esiliiga B
Paide Linnameeskond U21 vs Tartu Kalev
2:3
Apr 13, 2025 Esiliiga B
Tartu Kalev vs Paide Linnameeskond U21
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paide Linnameeskond U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Reinkort S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Tartu Kalev Compare

Top Goalscorer Juhanson R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paide Linnameeskond U21 31 / 100
Tartu Kalev 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paide Linnameeskond U21 Tartu Kalev

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Paide Linnameeskond U21 scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Tartu Kalev's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 35 matches.

Paide Linnameeskond U21 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tartu Kalev
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maardu Linnameeskond362853116:3989
2Nomme Utd U21362331093:5372
3Johvi Phoenix362151095:6168
4Narva U21362131287:5366
5Tartu Kalev361941381:5361
6Tabasalu361381560:6747
7Legion361351866:9444
8Paide Linnameeskond U21361181765:7141
9Kuressaare U2136612940:10519
10Laanemaa Haapsalu36323133:14011