Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Hegelmann

Europe Europe

Conference League Paide linnastaadion, Paide
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Sohna M. P.
Assist: Luts D.
27'
Slendzoka D.
39'
Radonja V.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Paide Linnameeskond advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Paide Linnameeskond
17%
Draws
13%
FC Hegelmann
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Paide Linnameeskond

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Hegelmann haven't matched Paide Linnameeskond's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Paide Linnameeskond a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Paide Linnameeskond have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Paide Linnameeskond, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Paide Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 68%
FC Hegelmann Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paide Linnameeskond FC Hegelmann
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 15 6
Draws 7 12
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 Conference League
Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Hegelmann
3:0
Jul 9, 2026 Conference League
FC Hegelmann vs Paide Linnameeskond
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paide Linnameeskond Compare

Top Goalscorer Sohna M. P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Badamosi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

FC Hegelmann Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paide Linnameeskond 77 / 100
FC Hegelmann 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paide Linnameeskond FC Hegelmann

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paide Linnameeskond found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).

FC Hegelmann's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Paide Linnameeskond went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paide Linnameeskond VS FC Hegelmann
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Paide Linnameeskond

(Home)
19 Jul
Harju JK Laagri
5 : 2
Paide Linnameeskond
16 Jul
Paide Linnameeskond
3 : 0
FC Hegelmann
09 Jul
FC Hegelmann
1 : 1
Paide Linnameeskond
04 Jul
Paide Linnameeskond
3 : 1
Parnu JK Vaprus
28 Jun
Kalju
1 : 1
Paide Linnameeskond
Page 1 of 6

FC Hegelmann

(Away)
16 Jul
Paide Linnameeskond
3 : 0
FC Hegelmann
09 Jul
FC Hegelmann
1 : 1
Paide Linnameeskond
04 Jul
FK Panevezys
1 : 1
FC Hegelmann
28 Jun
Banga
2 : 0
FC Hegelmann
17 Jun
FC Hegelmann
1 : 1
Dziugas Telsiai
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Tre Fiori-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Floriana-
TBD-
TBD-
Drita-
Borac Banja Luka-
TBD-
TBD-
Petrocub Hincesti-
ML Vitebsk-
TBD-
TBD-
Sutjeska-
Flora-
TBD-
TBD-
TNS-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Inter Escaldes-
Vardar-
TBD-
TBD-
Riga FC-
Bissen-
TBD-
TBD-
Gyor-
Basaksehir-
TBD-
FK Sarajevo2
Inter Turku3
Vaduz-
TBD-
Mornar Bar2
Atletic Escaldes4
Mondorf2
Dinamo Tbilisi3
Petrovac2
Zalgiris5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Partizan-
TBD-
UNA Strassen3
La Fiorita0
FK Panevezys-
TBD-
TBD-
Tobol-
Paks-
TBD-
TBD-
Panathinaikos-
Spartak Trnava-
TBD-
TBD-
CSKA 1948 Sofia-
Vojvodina-
TBD-
TBD-
Ajax-
Shelbourne-
TBD-
Kalju3
Linfield2
FCSB-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Auda Riga-
Aluminij-
TBD-
Dinamo Tirana4
FC Astana2
Zimbru Chisinau-
TBD-
TBD-
Noah-
AF Elbasani1
BATE2
TBD-
Sion-
Zeleznicar Pancevo-
TBD-
TBD-
Braga-
Neftci Baku-
TBD-
Din. Minsk2
Sileks1
Valur-
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Zrinjski-
GAIS-
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Nordsjaelland-
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Hapoel Tel Aviv-
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Ludogorets-
Zilina-
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GKS Katowice-
AEK Larnaca-
TBD-
TBD-
Beitar Jerusalem-
Decic1
FK Liepaja3
TBD-
Austria Vienna-
Alashkert4
Yelimay Semey3
TBD-
CFR Cluj-
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Universitatea Cluj-
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Brann-
Dila Gori3
Virtus2
TBD-
Apollon Limassol-
Lugano-
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Dukagjini-
NSI Runavik3
Hamrun2
TBD-
Koper-
Rakow Czestochowa-
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Valletta-
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HJK-
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Coleraine-
Motherwell-
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HB Torshavn-
Vllaznia2
Malisheva6
TBD-
Hibernian-
Bravo-
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Europa FC0
Shkendija Tetovo6
IFK Goteborg-
TBD-
Caernarfon0
Levadia10
LNZ Cherkasy-
TBD-
TBD-
Gent-
FC Hegelmann1
Paide Linnameeskond4
Zira FK6
Torpedo Kutaisi0
Penybont0
FC Santa Coloma4
TBD-
Rapid Vienna-
Bohemians2
St Josephs0
Connahs Q.2
FC Ballkani3
TBD-
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TBD-
TBD-
Debrecen-
TBD-
Marsaxlokk0
Pyunik Yerevan4
Polissya Zhytomyr-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Copenhagen-
Varazdin-
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TBD-
Jablonec-
Glentoran1
RFS4
TBD-
Vestri-
Rijeka-
TBD-
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Derry City-
Vikingur3
Stjarnan5
Differdange1
Ilves3
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Dun. Streda-
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Velez Mostar2
Milsami1
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Quarter-finals
Tre Fiori-
TBD-
Floriana1
Drita1
Borac Banja Luka3
Petrocub Hincesti0
ML Vitebsk3
Sutjeska0
Flora1
TNS0
TBD-
Inter Escaldes-
Vardar2
Riga FC3
Bissen2
Gyor6
Basaksehir1
Inter Turku1
Vaduz4
Atletic Escaldes0
Dinamo Tbilisi3
Zalgiris0
TBD-
TBD-
Partizan4
UNA Strassen0
FK Panevezys1
Tobol1
Paks1
Panathinaikos2
Spartak Trnava0
CSKA 1948 Sofia0
Vojvodina1
Ajax4
Shelbourne5
Kalju2
FCSB2
FK Auda Riga3
Aluminij1
Dinamo Tirana1
Zimbru Chisinau1
Noah1
BATE1
Sion1
Zeleznicar Pancevo0
Braga1
Neftci Baku2
Din. Minsk4
Valur1
Zrinjski0
GAIS1
Nordsjaelland0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hapoel Tel Aviv2
Ludogorets0
Zilina2
GKS Katowice1
AEK Larnaca0
Beitar Jerusalem1
FK Liepaja0
Austria Vienna2
Alashkert1
CFR Cluj1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Universitatea Cluj2
Brann2
Dila Gori0
Apollon Limassol4
Lugano1
Dukagjini0
NSI Runavik0
Koper2
Rakow Czestochowa3
Valletta1
TBD-
TBD-
HJK5
Coleraine0
Motherwell2
HB Torshavn0
Malisheva2
Hibernian0
Bravo2
Shkendija Tetovo1
IFK Goteborg1
Levadia2
LNZ Cherkasy0
Gent0
Paide Linnameeskond1
Zira FK0
FC Santa Coloma1
Rapid Vienna3
Bohemians2
FC Ballkani1
TBD-
TBD-
Debrecen1
Pyunik Yerevan0
Polissya Zhytomyr3
FC Copenhagen3
Varazdin3
Jablonec2
RFS4
Vestri1
Rijeka1
Derry City0
Stjarnan1
Ilves0
TBD-
TBD-
Dun. Streda1
Velez Mostar0
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Semi-finals
Tre Fiori-
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Inter Escaldes-
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