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Paide Linnameeskond vs Flora

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Paide linnastaadion, Paide
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Anier H.
Assist: Victor Hugo
36'
Valdmets R.
46'
Sub
Jobarteh M. In: Baranov N.
Out: Jobarteh M.

AI Match Summary

Flora in this Meistriliiga matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Flora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Paide Linnameeskond
15%
Draws
39%
Flora
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paide Linnameeskond

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Flora have won more games recently than Paide Linnameeskond.
  • Win probability leans Paide Linnameeskond's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Meistriliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Paide Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 19%
Flora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paide Linnameeskond Flora
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 13 16
Draws 7 2
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.54 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Meistriliiga
Flora vs Paide Linnameeskond
1:2
May 23, 2026 Estonian Cup
Paide Linnameeskond vs Flora
1:5
Apr 26, 2026 Meistriliiga
Paide Linnameeskond vs Flora
1:2
Feb 20, 2026 Club Friendly
Paide Linnameeskond vs Flora
1:3
Oct 26, 2025 Meistriliiga
Paide Linnameeskond vs Flora
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paide Linnameeskond Compare

Top Goalscorer Anier H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Flora Compare

Top Goalscorer Sappinen R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Usta T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paide Linnameeskond 40 / 100
Flora 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paide Linnameeskond Flora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paide Linnameeskond Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paide Linnameeskond's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Flora let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.

Solid form: Paide Linnameeskond remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Paide Linnameeskond VS Flora
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Paide Linnameeskond

(Home)
23 Aug
Paide Linnameeskond
4 : 1
Nomme Utd
16 Aug
Narva
1 : 1
Paide Linnameeskond
12 Aug
Rapid Vienna
2 : 0
Paide Linnameeskond
06 Aug
Paide Linnameeskond
1 : 4
Rapid Vienna
02 Aug
Paide Linnameeskond
1 : 0
Kuressaare
Page 1 of 6

Flora

(Away)
23 Aug
Parnu JK Vaprus
1 : 2
Flora
16 Aug
Flora
2 : 3
Kuressaare
13 Aug
Flora
0 : 4
Inter Escaldes
06 Aug
Inter Escaldes
2 : 0
Flora
02 Aug
Flora
1 : 0
Harju JK Laagri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 23 17 5 1 61:18 56
2 Kalju 24 13 5 6 43:19 44
3 Flora 22 14 0 8 44:25 42
4 Paide Linnameeskond 23 11 6 6 38:30 39
5 Tammeka Tartu 21 10 2 9 24:31 32
6 Harju JK Laagri 24 9 1 14 34:40 28
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 23 8 3 12 31:44 27
8 Nomme Utd 24 8 1 15 41:58 25
9 Kuressaare 24 7 3 14 25:39 24
10 Narva 24 5 2 17 18:55 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)