Sport Picks
Paide Linnameeskond vs Harju JK Laagri - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Estonia
Meistriliiga Paide linnastaadion, Paide 
Match Events
9'
9'
Kelement M.
Assist: Palutaja H.
35'
35'
Seck M.
41'
41'
Kaevats A.
AI Match Summary
Harju JK Laagri in this Meistriliiga matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Harju JK Laagri.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
15%
45%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Harju JK Laagri
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Harju JK Laagri at 1.96 per game, Paide Linnameeskond at 1.45.
- Win probability leans Paide Linnameeskond's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Paide Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 11%
Harju JK Laagri Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Paide Linnameeskond | Harju JK Laagri |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 2 |
| Losses | 10 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.96 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Meistriliiga
Paide Linnameeskond vs Harju JK Laagri
1:2
Jul 19, 2026 Meistriliiga
Harju JK Laagri vs Paide Linnameeskond
5:2
Jun 17, 2026 Meistriliiga
Paide Linnameeskond vs Harju JK Laagri
1:0
Apr 22, 2026 Meistriliiga
Harju JK Laagri vs Paide Linnameeskond
2:2
Sep 20, 2025 Meistriliiga
Harju JK Laagri vs Paide Linnameeskond
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Paide Linnameeskond Compare
Top Goalscorer Anier H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Harju JK Laagri Compare
Top Goalscorer Kelement M.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Paide Linnameeskond 38 / 100
Harju JK Laagri 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Paide Linnameeskond Harju JK Laagri
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Paide Linnameeskond Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Paide Linnameeskond's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Harju JK Laagri conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.
Solid form: Paide Linnameeskond remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Paide Linnameeskond VS Harju JK Laagri
1.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Paide Linnameeskond
(Home) 11 Oct
Levadia
1 : 0 Paide Linnameeskond
19 Sept
Nomme Utd
1 : 3 Paide Linnameeskond
16 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
2 : 0 Parnu JK Vaprus
13 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
1 : 2 Harju JK Laagri
09 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
0 : 2 Paide Linnameeskond
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
2 : 0 Parnu JK Vaprus
13 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
1 : 2 Harju JK Laagri
06 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
0 : 2 Levadia
23 Aug
Paide Linnameeskond
4 : 1 Nomme Utd
06 Aug
Paide Linnameeskond
1 : 4 Rapid Vienna
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Harju JK Laagri
(Away) 10 Oct
Kalju
0 : 1 Harju JK Laagri
03 Oct
FC Tallinn
0 : 10 Harju JK Laagri
18 Sept
Harju JK Laagri
0 : 0 Kuressaare
13 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
1 : 2 Harju JK Laagri
09 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus
3 : 2 Harju JK Laagri
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Kalju
0 : 1 Harju JK Laagri
03 Oct
FC Tallinn
0 : 10 Harju JK Laagri
13 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
1 : 2 Harju JK Laagri
09 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus
3 : 2 Harju JK Laagri
29 Aug
Nomme Utd
1 : 2 Harju JK Laagri
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levadia | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 81:21 | 72 |
| 2 | Flora | 29 | 18 | 1 | 10 | 59:39 | 55 |
| 3 | Paide Linnameeskond | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 48:36 | 51 |
| 4 | Kalju | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 52:28 | 50 |
| 5 | Tammeka Tartu | 30 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 41:47 | 47 |
| 6 | Harju JK Laagri | 30 | 12 | 2 | 16 | 41:47 | 38 |
| 7 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 41:59 | 35 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 31:49 | 29 |
| 9 | Nomme Utd | 30 | 9 | 1 | 20 | 47:72 | 28 |
| 10 | Narva | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 24:67 | 20 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
