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Paide Linnameeskond vs Kuressaare - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Paide linnastaadion, Paide
Paide Linnameeskond Logo

Paide Linnameeskond

1 - 0
FT
Kuressaare Logo

Kuressaare

Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Sub
Roivassepp G. In: Talu R.
Out: Roivassepp G.
46'
Sub
Hoim O. In: Miller M.
Out: Hoim O.
46'
Sub
Lilander M. In: Tur E.
Out: Lilander M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Paide Linnameeskond in this Meistriliiga matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paide Linnameeskond.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Paide Linnameeskond
15%
Draws
37%
Kuressaare
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paide Linnameeskond

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Paide Linnameeskond have won more games recently than Kuressaare.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Paide Linnameeskond taking it.
  • Regular Meistriliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Paide Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 16%
Kuressaare Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paide Linnameeskond Kuressaare
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Meistriliiga
Paide Linnameeskond vs Kuressaare
1:0
May 31, 2026 Meistriliiga
Paide Linnameeskond vs Kuressaare
1:1
Apr 3, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kuressaare vs Paide Linnameeskond
0:1
Oct 4, 2025 Meistriliiga
Kuressaare vs Paide Linnameeskond
1:1
Aug 16, 2025 Meistriliiga
Paide Linnameeskond vs Kuressaare
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paide Linnameeskond Compare

Top Goalscorer Sohna M. P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Kuressaare Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paide Linnameeskond 84 / 100
Kuressaare 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paide Linnameeskond Kuressaare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paide Linnameeskond Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paide Linnameeskond's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Kuressaare has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Paide Linnameeskond remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Paide Linnameeskond VS Kuressaare
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Paide Linnameeskond

(Home)
19 Sept
Nomme Utd
1 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond
16 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
2 : 0
Parnu JK Vaprus
13 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
1 : 2
Harju JK Laagri
09 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
0 : 2
Paide Linnameeskond
06 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
0 : 2
Levadia
Page 1 of 6

Kuressaare

(Away)
03 Oct
Kuressaare
4 : 2
Saku Sporting
18 Sept
Harju JK Laagri
0 : 0
Kuressaare
13 Sept
Kuressaare
1 : 3
Tammeka Tartu
09 Sept
Levadia
4 : 0
Kuressaare
05 Sept
Kuressaare
3 : 1
Narva
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 29 22 6 1 81:21 72
2 Flora 29 18 1 10 59:39 55
3 Paide Linnameeskond 29 15 6 8 48:36 51
4 Kalju 29 15 5 9 52:27 50
5 Tammeka Tartu 29 14 2 13 37:47 44
6 Harju JK Laagri 29 11 2 16 40:47 35
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 29 10 4 15 39:57 34
8 Kuressaare 29 8 5 16 31:49 29
9 Nomme Utd 29 9 1 19 47:68 28
10 Narva 29 5 4 20 22:65 19
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)