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Paide Linnameeskond vs Levadia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Paide linnastaadion, Paide
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Daniel Cabral
27'
Sub
Jobarteh M. In: Palacios J.
Out: Jobarteh M.
42'
Bessala M.

AI Match Summary

Levadia in this Meistriliiga matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Levadia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Paide Linnameeskond
15%
Draws
53%
Levadia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Levadia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Levadia lately — more wins on the board than Paide Linnameeskond.
  • Model gives Levadia a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Levadia have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Paide Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 10%
Levadia Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paide Linnameeskond Levadia
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 15 24
Draws 6 3
Losses 10 2
Goals Scored 1.42 3.07
Goals Conceded 1.39 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2026 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Paide Linnameeskond
1:0
Sep 6, 2026 Meistriliiga
Paide Linnameeskond vs Levadia
0:2
Aug 26, 2026 Estonian Cup
Levadia vs Paide Linnameeskond
4:1
May 17, 2026 Meistriliiga
Paide Linnameeskond vs Levadia
1:3
Mar 22, 2026 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Paide Linnameeskond
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paide Linnameeskond Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Levadia Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Pedro
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paide Linnameeskond 18 / 100
Levadia 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paide Linnameeskond Levadia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Levadia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paide Linnameeskond scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Paide Linnameeskond stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Levadia let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Paide Linnameeskond VS Levadia
1.63 Goals Scored 3.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Paide Linnameeskond

(Home)
28 Oct
Paide Linnameeskond
0 : 2
Kalju
24 Oct
Kuressaare
0 : 1
Paide Linnameeskond
18 Oct
Paide Linnameeskond
2 : 1
Narva
14 Oct
Paide Linnameeskond
2 : 1
Tammeka Tartu
11 Oct
Levadia
1 : 0
Paide Linnameeskond
Page 1 of 7

Levadia

(Away)
27 Oct
Levadia
2 : 1
Tammeka Tartu
24 Oct
Levadia
2 : 1
Harju JK Laagri
18 Oct
Kuressaare
0 : 2
Levadia
15 Oct
Flora
1 : 3
Levadia
11 Oct
Levadia
1 : 0
Paide Linnameeskond
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 34 27 6 1 91:24 87
2 Paide Linnameeskond 34 18 6 10 53:41 60
3 Flora 34 19 1 14 64:49 58
4 Kalju 34 17 6 11 58:34 57
5 Tammeka Tartu 34 16 2 16 48:54 50
6 Harju JK Laagri 34 15 2 17 49:50 47
7 Nomme Utd 34 12 1 21 55:76 37
8 Parnu JK Vaprus 34 10 7 17 46:68 37
9 Kuressaare 34 10 6 18 35:53 36
10 Narva 34 5 5 24 26:76 20
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)