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Paide Linnameeskond vs Levadia

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Paide linnastaadion, Paide
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Daniel Cabral
27'
Sub
Jobarteh M. In: Palacios J.
Out: Jobarteh M.
42'
Bessala M.

AI Match Summary

Levadia in this Meistriliiga matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Levadia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Paide Linnameeskond
15%
Draws
58%
Levadia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Levadia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Levadia lately — more wins on the board than Paide Linnameeskond.
  • Model gives Levadia a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Paide Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 10%
Levadia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paide Linnameeskond Levadia
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 23
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 2
Goals Scored 1.5 2.77
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Meistriliiga
Paide Linnameeskond vs Levadia
0:2
Aug 26, 2026 Estonian Cup
Levadia vs Paide Linnameeskond
4:1
May 17, 2026 Meistriliiga
Paide Linnameeskond vs Levadia
1:3
Mar 22, 2026 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Paide Linnameeskond
2:2
Oct 22, 2025 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Paide Linnameeskond
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paide Linnameeskond Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Levadia Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Pedro
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paide Linnameeskond 10 / 100
Levadia 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paide Linnameeskond Levadia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Levadia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paide Linnameeskond scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Levadia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Paide Linnameeskond stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paide Linnameeskond VS Levadia
1.38 Goals Scored 2.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Paide Linnameeskond

(Home)
06 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
0 : 2
Levadia
30 Aug
Flora
1 : 2
Paide Linnameeskond
26 Aug
Levadia
4 : 1
Paide Linnameeskond
23 Aug
Paide Linnameeskond
4 : 1
Nomme Utd
16 Aug
Narva
1 : 1
Paide Linnameeskond
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Levadia

(Away)
06 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
0 : 2
Levadia
30 Aug
Kalju
2 : 3
Levadia
26 Aug
Levadia
4 : 1
Paide Linnameeskond
21 Aug
Levadia
4 : 0
Narva
16 Aug
Harju JK Laagri
1 : 2
Levadia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 25 19 5 1 66:20 62
2 Flora 27 16 1 10 53:35 49
3 Kalju 27 13 5 9 47:26 44
4 Paide Linnameeskond 25 12 6 7 40:33 42
5 Tammeka Tartu 25 13 2 10 33:35 41
6 Harju JK Laagri 26 10 1 15 36:43 31
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 25 9 4 12 34:46 31
8 Nomme Utd 27 9 1 17 44:62 28
9 Kuressaare 26 8 4 14 30:42 28
10 Narva 27 5 3 19 21:62 18
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)