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Paide Linnameeskond vs Nomme Utd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Paide linnastaadion, Paide
Paide Linnameeskond Logo

Paide Linnameeskond

4 - 1
FT
Nomme Utd Logo

Nomme Utd

Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Sub
Baranov N. In: Lilander M.
Out: Baranov N.
27' Event
Kait K.
Assist: Sohna M. P.
30' Event
Oostenbrink K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga game between Paide Linnameeskond and Nomme Utd finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paide Linnameeskond.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Paide Linnameeskond
15%
Draws
34%
Nomme Utd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paide Linnameeskond

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Paide Linnameeskond come out ahead of Nomme Utd on wins alone.
  • Paide Linnameeskond are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Paide Linnameeskond here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Paide Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 17%
Nomme Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paide Linnameeskond Nomme Utd
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 11
Draws 6 0
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.55 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Meistriliiga
Nomme Utd vs Paide Linnameeskond
1:3
Aug 23, 2026 Meistriliiga
Paide Linnameeskond vs Nomme Utd
4:1
May 10, 2026 Meistriliiga
Nomme Utd vs Paide Linnameeskond
2:3
Apr 8, 2026 Meistriliiga
Paide Linnameeskond vs Nomme Utd
3:1
Nov 3, 2024 Meistriliiga
Nomme Utd vs Paide Linnameeskond
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paide Linnameeskond Compare

Top Goalscorer Anier H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kait K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Nomme Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Oostenbrink K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paide Linnameeskond 84 / 100
Nomme Utd 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paide Linnameeskond Nomme Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paide Linnameeskond Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paide Linnameeskond's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Nomme Utd let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Solid form: Paide Linnameeskond remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Paide Linnameeskond VS Nomme Utd
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Paide Linnameeskond

(Home)
19 Sept
Nomme Utd
1 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond
16 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
2 : 0
Parnu JK Vaprus
13 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
1 : 2
Harju JK Laagri
09 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
0 : 2
Paide Linnameeskond
06 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
0 : 2
Levadia
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Nomme Utd

(Away)
19 Sept
Nomme Utd
1 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond
12 Sept
Nomme Utd
2 : 3
Flora
08 Sept
Kalju
1 : 2
Nomme Utd
05 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus
1 : 0
Nomme Utd
02 Sept
Nomme Utd
3 : 2
Parnu JK Vaprus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 29 22 6 1 81:21 72
2 Flora 29 18 1 10 59:39 55
3 Paide Linnameeskond 29 15 6 8 48:36 51
4 Kalju 29 15 5 9 52:27 50
5 Tammeka Tartu 29 14 2 13 37:47 44
6 Harju JK Laagri 29 11 2 16 40:47 35
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 29 10 4 15 39:57 34
8 Kuressaare 29 8 5 16 31:49 29
9 Nomme Utd 29 9 1 19 47:68 28
10 Narva 29 5 4 20 22:65 19
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)