Sport Picks

Estonia

Estonian Cup 2025/2026 Paide linnastaadion

Paide Linnameeskond

2 - 0

Parnu JK Vaprus

Our Tip

Match Events

35'

Luts D.

50'

Lepik M.

72'

Sub

Badamosi A. In: Anier H.

Out: Badamosi A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Paide Linnameeskond in this Estonian Cup 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paide Linnameeskond.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Paide Linnameeskond

39%

Draws

31%

Parnu JK Vaprus

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Paide Linnameeskond lately — more wins on the board than Parnu JK Vaprus.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Estonian Cup 2025/2026 game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%

Paide Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 16%

Parnu JK Vaprus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Paide Linnameeskond	Parnu JK Vaprus
Matches Played	33	31
Wins	18	11
Draws	7	3
Losses	8	17
Goals Scored	1.25	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Meistriliiga

Paide Linnameeskond vs Parnu JK Vaprus

Possession: 47% - 49% Cards: 2 - 4

3:1

May 6, 2026 Estonian Cup

Paide Linnameeskond vs Parnu JK Vaprus

Possession: 53% - 58% Cards: 1 - 0

2:0

Mar 7, 2026 Meistriliiga

Parnu JK Vaprus vs Paide Linnameeskond

Possession: 54% - 51% Cards: 1 - 4

3:2

Nov 2, 2025 Meistriliiga

Paide Linnameeskond vs Parnu JK Vaprus

Possession: 54% - 45% Cards: 1 - 3

3:0

Aug 30, 2025 Meistriliiga

Parnu JK Vaprus vs Paide Linnameeskond

Possession: 55% - 59% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paide Linnameeskond Compare

Top Goalscorer Luts D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Anier H.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Parnu JK Vaprus Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paide Linnameeskond 30 / 100

Parnu JK Vaprus 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Paide Linnameeskond Parnu JK Vaprus

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAI Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Paide Linnameeskond scored in 94% of their last 33 outings.

Parnu JK Vaprus let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Paide Linnameeskond stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Paide Linnameeskond VS Parnu JK Vaprus

1.25 Goals Scored 1.25

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5

75% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals

Flora-

TBD-

Kohvile-

TBD-

Helm-

Levadia-

TBD-

Flora U18-

TBD-

Flora Tallinn U21-

Tabasalu Ulasabat-

TBD-

Eston Villa-

Harju JK Laagri-

TBD-

TransferWise-

Tallinna Wolves6

Soccernet4

TBD-

Raasiku Joker-

Nomme Utd-

TBD-

Harju JK Laagri III-

Saue JK Laagri-

TBD-

Maksatransport-

Tartu JK Welco 2-

TBD-

Narva-

Lootus JK Jarve-

TBD-

JK Arsenal2

Rae Spordikool4

FC Tallinn-

TBD-

Zealot Sporting-

Johvi Phoenix-

TBD-

Kose II-

TBD-

Kalju-

Viimsi JK-

TBD-

TalTech JK-

Tamper-

TBD-

Rumori Calcio-

Kose-

TBD-

Kuressaare-

TBD-

Paide Linnameeskond-

Flora U19-

TBD-

Vastseliina Tannem-

Tammeka Tartu-

TBD-

Tabasalu-

Tartu Kalev1

Elva2

TBD-

Legion-

Viimsi Lovid-

TBD-

Tallinna Smsraha-

Tallinna Kalev III-

TBD-

EstHam United-

Hiiumaa-

TBD-

Tallinna Kalev-

Tallinna FC Zapoos-

TBD-

FC Hell Hunt2

FC Lootos Polva0

Raplamaa1

Saku Sporting5

Marjamaa Kompanii4

Kubik0

Parnu JK Vaprus-

TBD-

Olympic Tallinn0

Tulevik6

Jarva-Jaani-

TBD-

Keila JK5

Kallaste United2

Maardu Aliens-

TBD-

JK Poseidon-

Tallinna Kalev U216

Vana Hea Puur0

Laanemaa Haapsalu2

Kohtla-Jarve Linnameeskond1

Tartu JK Welco16

Kuusalu Kalev0

TBD-

Tartu Helios-

Arukula Vigri-

TBD-

Kristiine-

1/32-finals

Flora-

TBD-

Kohvile0

Helm4

Levadia-

TBD-

Flora U181

Flora Tallinn U2112

Tabasalu Ulasabat13

Eston Villa0

Harju JK Laagri26

TransferWise0

Tallinna Wolves3

Raasiku Joker4

Nomme Utd5

Harju JK Laagri III1

Saue JK Laagri6

Maksatransport1

Tartu JK Welco 20

Narva8

Lootus JK Jarve1

Rae Spordikool10

FC Tallinn7

Zealot Sporting1

Johvi Phoenix-

Kose II-

TBD-

Kalju-

Viimsi JK7

TalTech JK1

Tamper4

Rumori Calcio2

Kose0

Kuressaare7

TBD-

Paide Linnameeskond-

Flora U19-

Vastseliina Tannem-

Tammeka Tartu6

Tabasalu0

Elva3

Legion0

Viimsi Lovid0

Tallinna Smsraha7

Tallinna Kalev III9

EstHam United0

Hiiumaa0

Tallinna Kalev3

Tallinna FC Zapoos7

FC Hell Hunt0

Saku Sporting3

Marjamaa Kompanii2

Parnu JK Vaprus13

Tulevik0

Jarva-Jaani1

Keila JK4

Maardu Aliens1

JK Poseidon4

Tallinna Kalev U212

Laanemaa Haapsalu0

Tartu JK Welco3

Tartu Helios0

Arukula Vigri0

Kristiine4

1/16-finals

Flora14

Helm0

Levadia4

Flora Tallinn U210

Tabasalu Ulasabat0

Harju JK Laagri3

Raasiku Joker1

Nomme Utd4

Saue JK Laagri0

Narva4

Rae Spordikool0

FC Tallinn9

Johvi Phoenix1

Kalju6

Viimsi JK4

Tamper1

Kuressaare1

Paide Linnameeskond2

Flora U191

Tammeka Tartu8

Elva3

Tallinna Smsraha2

Tallinna Kalev III1

Tallinna Kalev8

Tallinna FC Zapoos3

Saku Sporting0

Parnu JK Vaprus9

Keila JK0

JK Poseidon1

Tallinna Kalev U210

Tartu JK Welco8

Kristiine0

1/8-finals

Flora3

Levadia1

Harju JK Laagri0

Nomme Utd1

Narva6

FC Tallinn0

Kalju0

Viimsi JK1

Paide Linnameeskond3

Tammeka Tartu0

Elva1

Tallinna Kalev2

Tallinna FC Zapoos2

Parnu JK Vaprus4

JK Poseidon0

Tartu JK Welco6

Quarter-finals

Flora3

Nomme Utd1

Narva4

Viimsi JK3

Paide Linnameeskond6

Tallinna Kalev0

Parnu JK Vaprus2

Tartu JK Welco1

Semi-finals

Flora1

Narva0

Paide Linnameeskond2

Parnu JK Vaprus0

Final

Flora5

Paide Linnameeskond1