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Paide Linnameeskond vs Parnu JK Vaprus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Paide linnastaadion, Paide
Paide Linnameeskond Logo

Paide Linnameeskond

2 - 0
FT
Parnu JK Vaprus Logo

Parnu JK Vaprus

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Palacios J.
Assist: Tur E.
12'
Valja H.
22'
Sohna M. P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga game between Paide Linnameeskond and Parnu JK Vaprus finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paide Linnameeskond.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Paide Linnameeskond
15%
Draws
34%
Parnu JK Vaprus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paide Linnameeskond

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Paide Linnameeskond carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Paide Linnameeskond a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Meistriliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Paide Linnameeskond have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Paide Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 18%
Parnu JK Vaprus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paide Linnameeskond Parnu JK Vaprus
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 11
Draws 7 4
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.52 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Meistriliiga
Paide Linnameeskond vs Parnu JK Vaprus
2:0
Jul 4, 2026 Meistriliiga
Paide Linnameeskond vs Parnu JK Vaprus
3:1
May 6, 2026 Estonian Cup
Paide Linnameeskond vs Parnu JK Vaprus
2:0
Mar 7, 2026 Meistriliiga
Parnu JK Vaprus vs Paide Linnameeskond
3:2
Nov 2, 2025 Meistriliiga
Paide Linnameeskond vs Parnu JK Vaprus
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paide Linnameeskond Compare

Top Goalscorer Palacios J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Parnu JK Vaprus Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paide Linnameeskond 85 / 100
Parnu JK Vaprus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paide Linnameeskond Parnu JK Vaprus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paide Linnameeskond Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Paide Linnameeskond scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Parnu JK Vaprus conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Paide Linnameeskond has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Paide Linnameeskond VS Parnu JK Vaprus
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Paide Linnameeskond

(Home)
19 Sept
Nomme Utd
1 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond
16 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
2 : 0
Parnu JK Vaprus
13 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
1 : 2
Harju JK Laagri
09 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
0 : 2
Paide Linnameeskond
06 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
0 : 2
Levadia
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Parnu JK Vaprus

(Away)
20 Sept
Flora
3 : 2
Parnu JK Vaprus
16 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
2 : 0
Parnu JK Vaprus
12 Sept
Levadia
4 : 0
Parnu JK Vaprus
09 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus
3 : 2
Harju JK Laagri
05 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus
1 : 0
Nomme Utd
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 29 22 6 1 81:21 72
2 Flora 29 18 1 10 59:39 55
3 Paide Linnameeskond 29 15 6 8 48:36 51
4 Kalju 29 15 5 9 52:27 50
5 Tammeka Tartu 29 14 2 13 37:47 44
6 Harju JK Laagri 29 11 2 16 40:47 35
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 29 10 4 15 39:57 34
8 Kuressaare 29 8 5 16 31:49 29
9 Nomme Utd 29 9 1 19 47:68 28
10 Narva 29 5 4 20 22:65 19
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)